Germany’s Acetic Acid Market Faces Persistent Demand Weakness, Uncertain Recovery Ahead
- 10-Feb-2025 6:45 PM
- Journalist: Jacob Kutchner
The Acetic Acid market in Germany remained sluggish throughout January and early February 2025, struggling to recover post-New Year as demand in key downstream sectors showed no significant improvement. Consumption in paints and coatings, butyl acetate, and vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) continued to be weak, weighed down by broader economic uncertainty. High interest rates have particularly affected the construction and automotive sectors, limiting purchasing activity and further dampening market sentiment.
The Acetic Acid market is also facing supply-side constraints, with limited imports from Asia due to high freight costs and extended lead times. These factors have contributed to market tightness, although domestic production and steady natural gas availability have ensured that supply remains sufficient. Additionally, the restricted availability of feedstocks like n-butanol and iso-butanol has constrained butyl acetate production, further reducing Acetic Acid demand.
Germany’s construction sector continues to struggle, adding pressure on the Acetic Acid market. The Germany Construction activities rose in January, up from in December, signalling a slower contraction but still firmly in negative territory. Housing activity remains the most affected, while commercial and civil engineering activity also showed declines. The sector continues to face high borrowing costs, reduced new orders, and ongoing job cuts, limiting demand for Acetic Acid-based products like paints, coatings, and adhesives.
The automotive sector, another key downstream consumer of Acetic Acid derivatives, remains weak. High borrowing costs and increased competition from low-cost Chinese imports have reduced new vehicle purchases, limiting demand for Acetic Acid-based coatings and adhesives. This prolonged weakness in automotive demand has further weighed on the Acetic Acid market.
Despite these challenges, the Acetic Acid market has remained stable, with spot prices holding firm at USD 750-850 per MT DDP Hamburg. This stability is largely due to steady domestic production and sufficient natural gas availability, ensuring that supply continues to meet limited demand. However, continued demand weakness in the construction and automotive sectors raises concerns about potential price movements in the coming months.
As per ChemAnalyst Database Looking ahead, the Acetic Acid market in Germany is expected to remain under pressure unless a significant recovery in downstream demand materializes. Any improvement will depend on potential interest rate cuts, an economic rebound, and increased construction activity. If demand remains sluggish, Acetic Acid prices could face further downside risks. Additionally, import trends, freight rates, and feedstock availability will be key factors shaping market trends.
For now, the Acetic Acid market remains in a phase of uncertainty, awaiting signs of demand recovery. With economic conditions still challenging, the outlook for the Acetic Acid market remains cautious, with market participants closely monitoring developments in construction, automotive, and global trade to gauge potential shifts in demand and pricing.