For the Quarter Ending September 2024
North America
In Q3 2024, the Acetic Acid pricing landscape in North America witnessed a notable uptrend in the first half of Q3 while prices remained subdued in the second half, driven by several key factors.
Market dynamics were influenced by a combination of increased demand from various industries, particularly in the construction and manufacturing sectors, alongside supply constraints and rising production costs. This resulted in a 9.3% price surge compared to the same quarter last year. Within the USA, which experienced the most significant price fluctuations, the quarter saw a 0.8% increase from the previous quarter and a 1% price rise between the first and second halves. This trend indicates a consistent upward trajectory in Acetic Acid prices, reflecting a positive pricing environment.
The latest quarter-ending price for Acetic Acid (Glacial) FOB Louisiana in the USA stood at USD 722/MT, highlighting the sustained bullish sentiment in the market. The quarter's performance underscores a robust demand-supply balance, cost dynamics, and sector-specific requirements contributing to the overall price escalation.
APAC
In the third quarter of 2024, Acetic Acid prices in the APAC region have exhibited a mixed trend, with Japan experiencing the most significant price fluctuations. This market shift has been influenced by several factors, including a surge in demand from various industries, particularly the acetate sector, which is extensively used in construction and manufacturing, alongside declining prices of feedstock methanol. Additionally, limited supply due to production constraints has contributed to rising prices. The depreciation of the local currency has further impacted import costs, pushing prices higher. In Japan, Acetic Acid prices have seen a substantial decline, with a percentage change of -40.7% compared to the same quarter last year and a -3% change from the previous quarter in 2024. However, the latter half of the quarter experienced a 0.2% price increase compared to the first half, indicating improved market sentiment. The quarter-ending price for Acetic Acid (Glacial) CFR Osaka in Japan stands at USD 397/MT, reflecting an upward trajectory in prices during the second half of the quarter after a significant decline in the first half.
Europe
The Acetic Acid market in Europe during Q3 2024 exhibited mixed trends, with prices rising in the first half and declining in the second half. This fluctuation was largely attributed to the halt in production at Celanese plants, a major Acetic Acid producer, in June. This disruption resulted in lower inventories and consequently higher Acetic Acid prices in the first half of Q3 2024. However, as production resumed, inventories increased, leading to a drop in prices during the second half of Q3 2024. Several key factors influenced this trend, including lower upstream methanol prices, reduced import costs from China, and weak demand from downstream sectors such as plastics and polyester industries. Additionally, an oversupply of PTA due to resumed plant operations and a decline in crude oil prices further dampened market sentiment. The Netherlands, in particular, experienced significant price changes during this quarter, with Acetic Acid prices in the region Increased by 10% compared to the same quarter last year and a 1% decrease from the previous quarter in 2024. The price comparison between the first and second halves of the quarter revealed a decline of 1%. The quarter-ending price for Acetic Acid (Glacial) FD Rotterdam in the Netherlands stood at USD 843 per MT, reflecting the overall downward pricing environment in the region.
MEA
The Acetic Acid pricing landscape in the MEA region during Q3 2024 has witnessed a notable uptrend, driven by several key factors. Strong demand from various industries, particularly the construction sector, has been a significant influencer, with increased inquiries and robust market activity propelling prices upwards. Additionally, stable feedstock costs and an overall positive economic outlook have further supported the price surge. In Saudi Arabia specifically, the market has experienced the most pronounced price changes, with a consistent upward trajectory throughout the quarter. This can be attributed to the Kingdom's thriving construction industry, which has shown resilience and sustained growth, contributing to heightened demand for Acetic Acid. While there has been decrease of 3.1% from the same quarter last year and a marginal positive change of 1.6% from the previous quarter in 2024, the comparison between the first and second half of Q3 reveals a notable 5% increase in prices. As Q3 draws to a close, the latest quarter-ending price stands at USD 364/MT of Acetic Acid FOB Al Jubail in Saudi Arabia, reflecting a firmly increasing pricing environment in line with regional trends.
For the Quarter Ending June 2024
North America
In Q2 2024, the North American Acetic Acid market experienced a notable uptick in prices, driven by several key factors contributing to an overall bullish sentiment. The primary catalyst for this surge was the escalating cost of feedstock Methanol, compounded by heightened production expenses due to increased natural gas prices. Market dynamics were further influenced by robust demand from downstream sectors, particularly the construction industry, which consistently bolstered the need for Acetic Acid derivatives such as Ethyl Acetate and Butyl Acetate. Although the inventory levels remained relatively low, a strategic restocking approach mitigated any potential supply disruptions, maintaining a balanced market flow.
Focusing on the USA, which observed the most significant price variations, the quarter's performance was marked by an 5% rise in prices from the previous quarter in 2024, reflecting a clear upward trajectory. However, compared to the same quarter last year, there was a slight decline of 3%, indicating a longer-term market correction. Seasonality played a critical role, with the first half of the quarter recording a 3% lower price than the latter half, driven by increased industrial activity and restocking efforts.
Conclusively, the pricing environment for Acetic Acid in the USA has been positive, culminating in a quarter-ending price of USD 716/MT FOB Texas. This stability, alongside a strategic response to changing market dynamics, underscores a resilient market adapting to evolving economic conditions. Despite some historical fluctuations, the quarter has signified robust growth and resilience, ensuring a stable supply to meet domestic and international demands.
APAC
In Q2 2024, the Acetic Acid market in the APAC region has experienced a notable decline in prices, driven primarily by a combination of factors. Predominantly, weak cost support from the feedstock Methanol has been a significant contributor. Upstream methanol prices remained volatile, causing downstream production costs to fluctuate unfavourably. Additionally, high inventory levels pressured traders to offer discounts, further compounded by subdued demand from key downstream sectors like construction and acetate industries. External market dynamics, including China's economic activities and coal price trends, have played pivotal roles, as rising coal prices increased production costs, leading to cautious procurement by buyers. Focusing on Japan, where the maximum price changes were observed, the market exhibited a distinct downward trend. The overall sentiment in Japan was negative, with Acetic Acid prices decreasing by 11% compared to the same quarter last year and by 4% from the previous quarter in 2024. Seasonality also played a part, as the second half of the quarter saw a slight decline of 1% from the first half, reflecting consistent downward pressure on prices. This decline was further influenced by low demand from the construction sector, despite a slight uptick in manufacturing activities. The quarter-ending price for Acetic Acid (Glacial) CFR Osaka stood at USD 411/MT, marking a period of overall negative pricing environment driven by a combination of high inventories, fluctuating feedstock costs, and subdued demand."
Europe
In Q2 2024, the Acetic Acid market in Europe displayed a persistent upward price trajectory. The primary drivers behind this bullish sentiment included stable methanol prices, consistent downstream demand from the construction sector, and the European Central Bank's maintenance of a 4.5% interest rate since 2024. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and the ongoing Red Sea crisis induced supply chain disruptions, contributing to elevated shipping costs and logistical complexities. These factors collectively fostered an environment where traders could command higher prices, despite a backdrop of declining upstream crude oil and methanol costs.
Focusing on Germany, the Acetic Acid market experienced the most pronounced price changes within the region. The overall trend was marked by increasing prices, buoyed by sustained construction demand and foreign direct investment, despite labour shortages and strike actions within the sector. Seasonality also played a role, with heightened restocking activities in anticipation of the holiday season. The correlation of these factors resulted in a 4% increase from the previous quarter and a 4% price rise between the first and second half of Q2 2024.
However, compared to the same quarter last year, prices dipped by 9%, reflecting a volatile market environment influenced by fluctuating demand and supply chain challenges. Despite these challenges, the quarter-ending price stood at USD 785/MT for Acetic Acid (Glacial) CPT Hamburg, underscoring a stable pricing environment with a positive outlook. This upward trend suggests a cautiously optimistic market sentiment, driven by robust domestic production and strategic restocking activities amidst global economic uncertainties.
MEA
In Q2 2024, the Acetic Acid market in the MEA region faced significant fluctuations, influenced by various complex factors. Despite initial stability, the market saw rising prices due to increased production costs fuelled by a surge in upstream crude oil prices. Concurrently, feedstock methanol prices experienced a marked rise, further escalating manufacturing expenses. Strong demand from downstream industries, particularly the robust construction and acetate sectors, exerted upward pressure on prices, even as the global economic recovery remained tepid. However, the market was also characterized by substantial inventory levels, leading to periodic price stabilization efforts by traders.
In Saudi Arabia, where price dynamics were most pronounced, Acetic Acid prices demonstrated notable volatility. The overall trend was marked by periodic increases driven by heightened demand from the booming construction sector. However, the market also experienced downward pressures due to high inventory levels and stable methanol prices. Seasonality played a significant role, with increased demand in the latter half of the quarter due to restocking activities and heightened construction projects. Despite these fluctuations, prices in Q2 2024 reflected a sentiment of moderate stability, with a negative change from the same quarter last year, and a negative decrease from the previous quarter in 2024. The price comparison between the first and second half of the quarter showed a 2% increase, indicating a gradual upward trend. Concluding the quarter, Acetic Acid prices stood at USD 358/MT FOB Al Jubail, underscoring a generally stable pricing environment amid fluctuating market conditions.
For the Quarter Ending March 2024
North America
In the first quarter of 2024, the North American region experienced a steady market for Acetic Acid, influenced by consistent demand from downstream industries, stable supply dynamics, and ongoing destocking activities. Although no major plant shutdowns were reported, the USA market witnessed a 2% increase in Acetic Acid prices in the latter half of the quarter compared to the first half.
Strong demand from the downstream construction industry, bolstered by government initiatives aimed at enhancing the construction workforce through apprenticeship and community college programs, is expected to fuel further growth in the market. This positive sentiment is projected to lead to short-term expansion. In the USA market, Acetic Acid prices remained stable throughout the quarter, with a quarter-ending price of USD 625 per metric ton of Acetic Acid (Glacial) DEL Texas.
Price percentage remained unchanged compared to the same quarter of the previous year but increased by 11% from the previous quarter in 2023 (Q3). Despite disruptions such as weather-related plant shutdowns affecting companies like DowDuPont, Eastman Chemical, and Celanese Corporation, production resumed within a week for each, indicating industry resilience. Overall, the first quarter of 2024 showcased a stable and promising market for Acetic Acid in North America.
APAC
The APAC region has experienced a decrease in Acetic Acid prices during Q1 2024. This downward trend can be attributed to various factors, including weak demand from downstream industries such as construction, reduced feedstock prices, and oversupply in the market. Despite the overall decline in prices, South Korea has seen the maximum price changes compared to other countries in the region. In South Korea, Acetic Acid prices have shown a significant decrease during Q1 2024. This decline is in line with the overall trend in the APAC region. The market has been influenced by weak demand from the construction sector, which is a major consumer of Acetic Acid. Additionally, the availability of lower-priced feedstock and ample inventories in the market have contributed to the downward pressure on prices. Analysing the price changes in South Korea during this quarter, there has been a significant decline compared to the same quarter last year, with prices falling by 28%. The decline from the previous quarter in 2024 has been even more pronounced, with prices dropping by 45%. When comparing the first half and second half of the quarter, there has been an 8% decrease in prices. As Q1 2024 comes to an end, the latest price of Acetic Acid in South Korea is reported at USD 430 per metric ton FOB Busan. Overall, the pricing environment for Acetic Acid in South Korea and the APAC region has been negative, reflecting the downward trend in prices due to weak demand and oversupply in the market.
Europe
In Q1 2024, the European Acetic Acid market experienced declining trends influenced by a combination of factors. The primary factor driving these fluctuations was the performance of Methanol, its principal feedstock, which saw subdued pricing due to stable or reduced contract prices reported by Methanex. This lack of robust cost support from Methanol was compounded by high inventory levels across the market, putting downward pressure on prices. Additionally, import prices from China, a major exporter to the region, remained steady, failing to uplift Acetic Acid pricing. The European Central Bank's decision to maintain a relatively high interest rate at 4.5% further impacted the market by reducing the purchasing power of downstream consumers, thereby dampening demand. The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) indicated a contraction in the manufacturing sector, typically associated with lower chemical demand, including Acetic Acid. On the supply side, no significant disruptions were reported, ensuring sufficient inventory levels to meet industry demand. Despite expectations of price stabilization or potential increases linked to anticipated rises in raw material costs and energy prices, overall market sentiment remained cautious, influenced by broader economic signals and sector-specific dynamics such as ongoing challenges in the construction industry, a major consumer of downstream products like Ethyl Acetate and Butyl Acetate. While these products experienced steady demand, it was not sufficient to significantly shift Acetic Acid prices in a positive direction within the quarter.
MEA
The first quarter of 2024 witnessed a notable decline in Acetic Acid prices across the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region, creating a negative pricing environment. This trend, particularly pronounced in Saudi Arabia, can be attributed to several factors, including reduced demand from downstream industries and abundant market supply. Additionally, the continued low cost of Methanol, a key feedstock, has led to decreased production costs and subsequently lower prices for Acetic Acid. Compared to the same period last year, Acetic Acid prices have experienced a substantial 39% decline, with a notable 10% decrease from the previous quarter in 2024. Moreover, there has been a significant price disparity between the first and second halves of the quarter, with prices dropping by 11%. As the quarter draws to a close, the latest recorded price for Acetic Acid in Saudi Arabia stands at USD 355 per metric ton FOB Al Jubail, underscoring the prevailing downward price trend in the region. In summary, the pricing environment for Acetic Acid in the MEA region throughout the first quarter of 2024 has been characterized by consistent decreases, driven by factors such as weak demand, ample supply, and favourable feedstock costs.
For the Quarter Ending December 2023
North America
The North American region observed a stable supply of Acetic Acid during the current quarter of 2023 (Q4) with the plants operating at a consistent pace. However, the demand from the downstream industries was lacklustre, especially from the construction industry, resulting in a decline in prices.
The high level of inventories in the market further added to the pressure of lower prices. The reduced demand from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) producing coatings for furniture, doors, windows, and cabinets in the residential construction sector also contributed to the decline in demand. The prices of feedstock Methanol remained on the lower end, but the production of natural gas remained stable, providing lower cost support.
In the USA, the prices of Acetic Acid experienced a downward trend, mainly due to the reduced demand from the downstream construction industry. The demand from the international market is expected to remain firm, and the inventories level in the market is likely to remain high. The current quarter's price of Acetic Acid DEL Texas in the USA is USD 600/MT.
APAC
The Q4 2023 for Acetic Acid in the APAC region has been affected by several factors. Firstly, the high level of inventories in the market has led to lower prices. Secondly, the rise in production costs due to an increase in prices of natural gas and coal has also impacted the market. Thirdly, demand from the downstream industry has been weak, leading to a decline in prices. South Korea has seen the most significant changes in prices with a -38% decrease from the previous quarter, a -33% decrease in price between the first and second half of the quarter, and a -19% decrease from the same quarter last year. The primary reason for the decline in prices is the shutdown of LG Chem's Acetic Acid plant in Daesan, which has led to a supply shortage in the market. The quarter ending price for Acetic Acid (Glacial) FOB Busan in South Korea is USD 496/MT.
Europe
The European market for Acetic Acid in Q4 2023 saw stability due to consistent imports, with prices remaining unchanged as compared to the previous quarter. The market was influenced by heavy destocking activities, high inventories, and rising production costs due to increasing natural gas prices. Feedstock Acetic Acid prices also increased, which eventually transmitted downstream through the supply chain. The Belgium market saw stability in Acetic Acid prices due to consistent contract prices of Feedstock Methanol. However, the quarter saw a decline in prices as compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The quarter-to-quarter comparison showed a 12% increase in prices, while the price comparison between the first and second halves of the quarter showed a 13% increase. The primary reason for the market stability in Belgium was the high level of inventories, which led to lower prices. The quarter saw no plant shutdowns. The current quarter ending price of Acetic Acid (Glacial) FD Antwerp in Belgium is USD 774/MT.
MEA
The Q4 2023 for Acetic Acid in the Middle East and Africa region was characterized by stable prices. The market situation was steady, and moderate supply and demand levels were observed. The top reasons that impacted the market were the expected continuity of robust demand from the international market, reduced market inventories attributed to the onset of the festival season, and the anticipated increase in coal prices that would lead to higher production costs. In Saudi Arabia, Acetic Acid pricing showed a 7% increase from the previous quarter, with a stable market situation and moderate supply and demand levels. The percentage change in the price from the last year's same quarter was -19%. The price percentage comparison of the first and second half of the quarter was 7%. The high inventory levels influenced reduced pricing, and the expected rise in methanol, a key feedstock, is likely to influence Acetic Acid prices soon. The latest/quarter ending price of Acetic Acid FOB Al Jubail in Saudi Arabia is USD 394/MT. Overall, the stable market situation, moderate supply and demand, and anticipated market factors impacted Acetic Acid pricing in the MEA region.
For the Quarter Ending September 2023
North America
The downturn in the US Acetic Acid market during Q3 2023 can be primarily attributed to a parallel decrease in the prices of its crucial feedstock, Methanol. Notably, Dow, a prominent industry player, reported a decline in sales within its Construction Chemical Business segment—a significant consumer of Ethyl Acetate and Butyl Acetate, downstream products derived from Acetic Acid. This trend is further corroborated by Methanex, a key industry source, which observed a decline in the prices of Feedstock Methanol in the US market throughout Q3. From a broader economic perspective, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the US market dipped below 50, signaling a notable contraction in the manufacturing sector's activity in Q3. Concurrently, demand from the construction industry faced challenges, with US housing starts and Builders' confidence decreasing due to high mortgage rates, resulting in elevated housing costs. In August, the multifamily housing segment saw a decline of 26.3% from July, while the single-family segment decreased by 4.3% from July. This broader economic context further contributed to the overall subdued performance of the Acetic Acid market in the US during the quarter.
APAC
In the third quarter of 2023, the Chinese Acetic Acid market witnessed a substantial rise in prices. This upswing can be ascribed to a reduction in inventory levels, granting sellers a strategic advantage. The heightened competition among buyers for the limited available supply empowers sellers to command premium prices. Notably, major production facilities such as Tianjin Soda in Lingang, Tianjin, China, with an operational capacity of 350,000 mt/year, underwent maintenance turnaround, exacerbating the decline in market inventory. Furthermore, Typhoon Saola's proximity to the Chinese coast raised concerns about potential disruptions in the supply chain, contributing to further inventory reduction. Despite robust demand in the international market, the downstream industry, particularly in Ethyl Acetate and Butyl Acetate, experienced subdued demand. This can be attributed to their predominant usage in the construction industry, which faced a downturn due to the prevailing debt crisis. Additionally, sellers in the domestic market retained their Acetic Acid inventories, anticipating a price increase in the upcoming fourth quarter.
Europe
The Acetic Acid market in Germany has recently undergone a downturn marked by bearish trends throughout Q3. These unfavorable developments stem from a combination of factors. Firstly, the absence of limited cost support from the primary feedstock, Methanol, has disrupted the stability and cost-effectiveness of production. Additionally, there is a significant reduction in demand from downstream industries, specifically Ethyl Acetate and Butyl Acetate, predominantly utilized in the construction sector. This decline in demand is linked to persistently high interest rates since July, currently standing at 4.5%, discouraging investments in new construction projects and leading to a reduced need for construction-related chemicals like acetic acid. Furthermore, the market witnessed ample inventory availability, ensuring a smooth flow to meet downstream consumer requirements. This surplus in inventory contributed to sufficient levels to fulfill the demand from downstream industries, further suppressing the growth of the Acetic Acid market in Germany in Q3. However, there is an anticipation of a reversal in prices, driven by increasing import prices from the Chinese market and elevated prices of Feedstock Methanol.
For the Quarter Ending June 2023
North America
The prices of Acetic Acid have shown a sharp decline at the beginning of the quarter and then prices have declined with slower rate during the second half of Q2. This was mostly due to economic uncertainty amid high inflation and rising interest rate to control inflation which led to a decrement in demand from the downstream industries like VAM, Acetate, and Anhydride. Additionally, the plants were operating at slower rates due to weak demand from the downstream industries. Furthermore, the feedstock methanol had limited cost support, as signified by Methanex’s monthly Methanol contract prices. In Addition, there were limited order inquiries from the downstream industries. What is more, there was a significant decline in the prices of Natural gas at the beginning of the quarter since there has been a price recovery in the market, which led to a decrement in input production cost. Moreover, demand from the international market declined in the quarter due to global economic uncertainty and slow economic recovery. Thus, as of June 2023, prices of Acetic Acid in the US were stated at USD 740/MT FOB Texas.
APAC
The prices of Acetic Acid showed a bearish market trend in the first two months of the quarter, and then the prices increment in the final month of the quarter in South Korea. First two months, decremented was due to less demand from the downstream industry, and demand recovered slowly in the final month, explaining the slow increment in price. The prices of Acetic Acid have shown variable trends in the months of the quarter in the Chinese market. In the first month of the quarter, the prices declined sharply, then in the second month of the quarter, prices made a recovery, and in the final month of the quarter, prices remained stable. The sharp decline in starting this was due to a sudden decrement in demand from the downstream industry like VAM, Anhydrides, and Acetates. In terms of Domestic production, at the staring of the quarter, plants were operating lower rates due to weak demand from the downstream industries like VAM, Acetate, and anhydrides which lead to led to lower inventory levels in the market, so the prices of Acetic acid recovered in the second month of the quarter and in final month prices were stable due to adequate level of inventory to meet downstream demand. Moreover, the prices of feedstock methanol declined, as stated by Methanex, which led to an overall pessimistic market Acetic Acid market. Furthermore, the slow economic recovery in China due to the slowing manufacturing sector and the deflation problem subdued market growth. Therefore, the prices of Acetic Acid in the South Korean market as of June were stated at USD 461/MT FOB Busan.
Europe
Throughout Q2, prices of Acetic Acid had a bearish market trend in the Netherlands. This was due to continued high inflation amid rising interest rates to curb inflation rates created pessimistic market sentiments, which led to a decrement in demand from the downstream industry. Additionally, PMI for the second quarter remained below 50, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector in the whole quarter of Q2. In Addition, the plants were operating at a normal rate with an adequate level of inventories in the domestic market. Moreover, there was an overflow of cheap imports from Asia in the market amid declining demand from the downstream industry, like PVOH, VAM, and anhydride. Furthermore, due to continuous declining prices, downstream buyers hesitated to procure large orders. Additionally, there were riots and looting in France; cities including Nanterre, Marseille, and Lyon were looted. We are assessing the impact of these riots on the French market. Thus, as of June, Acetic Acid prices in the Netherlands decreased to USD 1019/MT FD Rotterdam.
For the Quarter Ending March 2023
North America
Acetic Acid prices started the quarter on a weaker note, with sluggish downstream demand resulting in weak offtakes, which culminated in a drop in prices. However, market sentiments improved in February as the demand improved while cost pressure from Methanol increased. Market participants of Acetates, VAM, and other downstream derivatives have reported stable production rates; thus, intakes of Acetic acid have been steady. Furthermore, in the last month of Q1, Acetic acid demand stagnated, and there were limited instances of new orders inquired by the end-users, which resulted in bearish pricing sentiment in the domestic market. The sluggishness in the market can also be observed in the below-par performance of the manufacturing industry in the US market amid the banking crises. Thus, as of March 2023, Acetic acid prices were assessed at USD 1147 per MT FOB Texas.
APAC
Acetic Acid prices showed mixed sentiment in the Asian markets, and prices have risen sharply since the conclusion of the Lunar New Year holidays in China as market participants replenished the material available in the domestic market. Several traders reported “definite” demand pull from the downstream industries on the prices of Acetic Acid. In terms of domestic production, operating rates have improved in the Chinese market for the first time since the last quarter as demand has improved in the domestic market. Consumption from downstream Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM), Acetic Anhydride, and Acetates has improved substantially, thus increasing the demand pressure on Acetic acid availability. In the second half of Q1, Acetic acid prices declined owing to decreasing demand from VAM and acetate industry despite plant shutdowns in North China during March 2023. Thus, after the conclusion of Q1, Acetic acid prices were assessed at USD 506 per FOB Qingdao.
Europe
In the German market, Acetic acid prices rose sharply in the first half of Q1 as the Acetate value chain turned a corner, and feedstock Methanol prices have increased. Thus, firm cost pressure and improving demand have resulted in increased consumption. Meanwhile, supply chain dynamics have remained stable, resulting in normalcy in trading. However, there is a general reluctance among European traders to buy Russian-origin Methanol. Thus, Methanol prices have been showing varied trends, and consequently, Acetic acid prices were also influenced. European market participants have reported that consumption from downstream Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM), Acetic Anhydride, and Acetates have improved substantially, thus increasing the demand pressure on Acetic acid availability. However, from late February onwards, the Acetic acid market showed a bearish trend in the second half of Q1 2023, and prices decreased due to a drop in queries from the downstream market and ample material availability owing to steady imports and domestic production. Thus, as of March 2023, Acetic acid prices were assessed at USD 1202 per MT FD Hamburg.
For the Quarter Ending December 2022
North America
In the US, Acetic acid prices declined continuously owing to sluggish demand sentiment and ample material availability. LyondellBasell announced a reduction in production rates in the US as demand from downstream Acetates, VAM, and others dropped significantly. There have been growing fears of a mini-recession in the US in 2023, and a slowdown was observed in economic activity during the fourth quarter. Furthermore, US PMI dipped below 50 (i.e., 49.7) in November, signifying a contraction in manufacturing and industrial activity for the first time in close to 30 months. Thus, Acetic acid prices showed an incessant downward trend during the last quarter and were assessed at USD 1180 per MT on a FOB basis in late December 2022.
Asia-Pacific
In the Asia Pacific region, Acetic Acid prices declined consistently throughout Q4, and prices dropped in India, South Korea, Malaysia, and China. Sluggishness defined the last quarter owing to weak consumption from downstream and minimum cost support from feedstock Methanol as upstream crude oil and Naphtha prices dropped sharply. In China, Guangxi Huayi Energy Chemical has announced a maintenance turnaround for their 1.2 million MTPA Acetic Acid plant in Guangxi. Henan Shunda Chemical Technology’s 400 KTPA plant in Henan is also on maintenance turnaround. Despite plant shutdowns and maintenance turnarounds, supply remained firm in the market as demand from downstream Acetates, VAM, and other value chains showed minimum changes during the quarter. In late December 2022, Acetic Acid prices were assessed at USD 430 per MT on a FOB basis.
Europe
Acetic acid prices constantly dropped throughout the 4th quarter as downstream demand remained weak while the material availability improved throughout the quarter. Acetic acid imports from Asia improved on European shores as the freight charges deteriorated sharply while the demand eased in the Asian market. Natural gas prices stabilized in the European market after the upheaval in Q3, which softened the production costs for several commodities, including Acetic Acid. Meanwhile, demand from downstream remained subdued throughout the quarter owing to recession fears in the market. Thus, prices of Acetic Acid in the German market were assessed at USD 1165 per MT on FD basis during late December 2022.
For the Quarter Ending September 2022
North America
In the USA, Acetic acid prices constantly declined during the penultimate quarter of the year. The significant price drop has been witnessed due to a drop in feedstock Methanol values and stable to weak demand from downstream industries. Since the beginning of Ukraine-Russia, the West has been under constant threat of a recession, and the speculations around a US recession intensified in Q3 as the inflation rates soared while consumer sentiment weakened substantially. The constant threat of a recession meant weak consumption rates of VAM and other downstream products of Acetic acid. Thus, after September 2022, Acetic acid prices were assessed at USD 1375 per MT on FOB US Gulf Coast.
Asia Pacific
Acetic acid prices in the Asia Pacific region declined consistently throughout the third quarter of 2022. Acetic acid prices dropped significantly as the cost pressure eased while demand from downstream Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM) and value chains remained stable. In China, the market faced stoppages due to a resurgence in covid cases, which not only hampered trading activities but also obstructed supply chain dynamics. Meanwhile, Northeast Asia maintained stability during the first two months of the quarter; however, September witnessed strong disruptions owing to typhoons that ravaged Japan severely, while South Korea witnessed a snug supply in September. Therefore, after the conclusion of Q3, Acetic Acid prices were assessed at USD 641 per MT on a FOB basis in South Korea.
Europe
European region witnessed high inflation rates as the energy market went haywire during the third quarter. As per several sources, Natural gas prices breached the previous levels in terms of pricing and reached record levels in Q3. Surging natural gas prices culminated in high electricity prices, which increased the cost of production manifolds. Thus, the cost of production of Acetic acid prices remained high, and consequently, domestically produced Acetic acid prices reached record highs. However, demand from downstream industries remained underwhelming. Furthermore, LyondellBasell announced production cuts as the demand dynamics plummeted in the European region. Production cuts in the European region were compensated by cheap imports from Asia and North America. Hence, after September 2022, Acetic Acid prices were assessed at USD 1461 per MT FD Antwerp.
For the Quarter Ending June 2022
North America
Acetic Acid prices soared consistently during quarter two of 2022 in North America, backed by strong downstream demand and constraint supply. At the beginning of April, the Acetic Acid prices surged due to the increased demand for paints and coating and enhanced upstream costs caused by feedstock methanol price hikes. Until the last week of April, the prices continued their upward motion on the back of increased exports to Mexico and other European countries. The same supply problems carried themselves in May and led to a price hike of Acetic Acid. Furthermore, force majeures announced by major manufacturers such as Celanese and INEOS worsened the June situation and exacerbated Acetic Acid's value in North America.
APAC
Acetic acid prices fluctuated during the entire quarter in the Indian domestic market. Acetic Acid's value declined till May and regained its upward momentum in June. The primary reason behind these fluctuations was frequently changing demand and supply fundamentals. Furthermore, changes in trading frequencies from China also caused the market value of Acetic Acid to change during the entire quarter. The assessed price value of Acetic Acid (Glacial) at Ex-Kandla was USD 746/MT in June. The Acetic Acid prices rose in April and then started declining in the Chinese domestic market due to the weak purchasing momentum, overflowing inventories, and reduced exports from the country. Acetic Acid (Glacial) evaluated market value at FOB Qingdao was USD 774/MT in April, which inclined to USD 718/MT in June.
Europe
In Europe, the market value of Acetic Acid was rising continuously during quarter 2 of 2022, on account of supply shortages and the energy crisis. As major manufacturers such as Lyondell announced force majeures, the supply of Acetic Acid became constrained in the market. Furthermore, the prices of feedstock Methanol mainly were soaring during the entire period, adding to the already augmented price value of Acetic Acid. In addition, surging energy prices and freight charges amidst Russia-Ukraine war tensions further exacerbated the market value of Acetic Acid in the European countries. Thus, the Acetic Acid FD Hamburg prices assembled at USD 1851/MT in April, increased to USD 1975/MT in June, and marked a hike of 6.70%.
For the Quarter Ending March 2022
North America
In Q1 2022, the price of Acetic Acid slipped in the first half of the Q1 of 2022. Declining demand for Natural gas also diminished the prices of Methanol impacting the Acetic Acid market. With the deterred price, the downstream adhesive and preservative industries were pressurized as sufficient supply and deteriorating market impacted the enterprises. Towards the end of the first quarter, the price of Acetic Acid was observed to be USD 1397/ton FOB Louisiana. In the second half of the first quarter, the cost rose supported by low production rates and lack of raw materials such as methanol, as well as regular maintenance. This pricing pattern was observed as demand in the domestic market of the United States revived. Raw Material Methanol production on the United States' Gulf Coast was highly efficient, as supply improved in response to rebounding Acetic Acid demand. When compared to the previous quarter, the price of Acetic Acid slipped by 13.7% when compared with Q4 2021.
Asia-Pacific
In Q1 2022, the price of Acetic Acid saw a continuous dip due to weak market and weak downstream derivative demand in the Asian region. Increase in imports from China and Southeast Asian countries created oversupplies in the regional market. The market sentiments went down supported by weak trading environment. Increase in product availability also affected its derivative market where the prices of Ethyl and Butyl Acetate also slipped. Despite surging prices of Natural Gas, feedstock Methanol prices seeks new direction with deteriorating demand from its downstream Petrochemical market. In India, the price of Acetic Acid towards the end of the first quarter were USD 595/ton CFR JNPT. During winter Olympics, the Acetic Acid plant in Henan Province, China was shut due to shortage of storage space, while other plants were operating stably. In China, the price of Acetic Acid was USD 940/ton FOB Qingdao in January 2022 to USD 744/ton FOB Qingdao towards the quarter ending March 2022. In India, the price of Acetic Acid slipped to 37.8% in the first quarter compared with Q4 2021.
Europe
In Germany, the Acetic Acid market slipped in the first half of this quarter with the cost of USD 545/ton CPT Hamburg in the month of February 2022. Despite of the shortage of Natural Gas, the market of Acetic Acid in Germany was affected due to weak demand from the end user consumers and deteriorating demand from the Acetic acid derivative market. However, the supply of Natural Gas was affected in Germany as Russia has not been sending much over its authoritative commitments to Europe in this chilling weather season. Towards the end of the quarter, the price of Acetic Acid in Germany was USD 558/ton CPT Hamburg. In the second half of the quarter, the prices surged due to increasing energy values and rising upstream Natural Gas and crude prices. When compared with previous quarter, the prices of Acetic Acid in Germany slipped by 26.7% from Q4 2021.
For the Quarter Ending December 2021
North America
In North America, the continuous dip in the price trend was observed with weak demand and sufficient supply. However, the prices were on the high side if compared with Q2 and Q3 for the same year. Restrained supply amid fears over the omicron Covid-19 variant has put upward pressure on the prices. The production of US Acetic Acid had slowly started up again, but the available quantities for exports to Europe remain low. This is due to low production rates caused by problems in the procurement of raw materials such as methanol and ongoing repair work. The prices of Acetic Acid in US market observed to be $1450/ton FOB Texas and $1476/ton FOB Louisiana. With the demand seem to be recovering in the domestic market of US, this price trend is observed. Upstream Methanol production in the US Gulf coast operated with good efficiency, as the supply continues to improve with recuperate Acetic acid demand. Major market players operated their Acetic acid plant cautiously according to the demand in the market. Downstream Ethyl acetate, butyl acetate demand was observed to be slow at the onset of new year with demand slowing seasonally.
Asia Pacific
In Q4, deteriorating demand slowed down the prices of Acetic acid in Asia region. Chinese Acetic Acid showed a cumulative fall during this quarter against waning demand from the downstream sectors and ample inventories. Leading Indian producer Laxmi Organics was heard importing bulk quantity of Acetic Acid from Celanese PTE Ltd. to cater to its acetyl derivatives demand. Fall in the Chinese Acetic Acid prices expected to maintain a downward pressure over the imported as well as domestic offers in the near term. Prices were also affected by the bearish Acetic acid supply in the global region due to weak export activities in India, South Korea, and Belgium. The prices of Acetic acid derivative mainly Ethyl acetate, butyl acetate was also stabilized. In the last week of December, the prices of Acetic acid in China observed to be $970/ton FOB Qingdao and the prices were hovering around $956/ton-$977/ton.
Europe
The price of Acetic Acid in Europe surged in October and November and started to slip down in December. Germany prices in October and November observed to be $1805/ton DDP Hamburg and $1845/ton DDP Hamburg. Due to a global supply deficit, Acetic Acid prices have risen to multi-month and multi-year highs across Europe, Manufacturers of rubber and plastic items are also feeling the pinch, since raw materials are in short supply. Long transportation times and limited freight capacity make the situation even more difficult. The supply chain is still in jeopardy, with containers in low supply and freight charges continuing to rise. In December deterred demand and sufficient supply resulted in slipping of price to $1824/ton DDP Hamburg. As the prices of Feedstock Methanol and Coal impacted during this period which affected the price of acetic acid. Downstream derivative namely Ethyl acetate, Butyl acetate was weak supported by the weak consumer demand and consumers started purchasing on need-to basis. As per market players, new orders were limited, and inventory levels was high.
For the Quarter Ending September 2021
North America
Supply of Acetic Acid remained tight in North America after Hurricane Ida disrupted several manufacturing facilities in August. The industrial infrastructure in the US Gulf region remained shut due to severe climate crises which consequently led to the demand-supply imbalance. The demand for Acetic Acid and the downstream products were deemed modest in the domestic as well as overseas market during Q3. Additionally, Acetic Acid Leakage at LyondellBasell’s plant in Texas in July along with the concerns of delta variant spread also stressed the market sentiments. Raw material escalations continued to send ripples to the Acetic Acid prices across the globe. Amidst constant supply shortage, FOB U.S.A. Acetic Acid prices surged to USD 430 per MT in September, showcasing consistent hike since July. Steady consumption from downstream VAM and Acetic Anhydride segments boosted the demand for Acetic Acid and raised their regional offers at that time period.
Asia Pacific
In the third quarter of 2021, the Asia Pacific market of Acetic Acid witnessed an exponential rise in its prices due to the surge in the feedstock Methanol prices. Additionally, in China, closure of the Ningbo-Zhoushan port for approximately two weeks in August and the congestion on its other ports led to the disruption in the supply chain which consequently affected the availability of Acetic Acid in the region. Besides, shut down of Guangxi and Anhui Huayi’s Acetic Acid plants for around 3-4 weeks for maintenance in July further added to the market tightness. High freight charges due to container shortage in India also contributed to the rise in the pricing trends of the quarter. Acetic Acid prices in September rose to USD 1371.91 per MT, showcasing a rise by USD 211.29 per MT since July. Prices in China showcased mixed sentiments due to the zero-tolerance corona virus policy. Acetic Acid FOB Qingdao monthly average in September stood at USD 1110 per MT, observing a growth of USD 25 per MT from the prices seen in August.
Europe
During the third quarter of 2021, supply of Acetic Acid in the European region tightened due to the closure of LyondellBasell’s La Porte plant, which is one of the leading producers of Acetic Acid globally. Being among the critical exporters of Acetic Acid and VAM, the shutdown of LyondellBasell’s plant not only affected the European market but also impacted the global market of Acetic Acid. Moreover, the congestion on the Meishan terminal at Ningbo port, also led to the scarcity of raw material in Europe. Raw material escalations coupled with the high demand of downstream products continued to send ripples to the Acidic Acid prices in the region. DDP -Germany monthly average prices were hiked by USD 110 per MT in the quarter ending.
For the Quarter Ending June 2021
North America
Acetic Acid prices in the North American region stabilized in the second quarter after observing a steep increment in the pricing trend starting early 2021. The supplies improved in the USA market as the production efficiency in the US Gulf Coast (USGC) region rebounded, backed with better output of upstream Methanol which supported improved availability of Acetic Acid. Furthermore, better derivative consumption in the US markets was observed. The US export window restored with Mexico and Europe after observing negligible trade in March. Appetite from the downstream VAM market increased with the betterment in supplies. On an average, Ex-works Texas Acetic Acid prices observed increment of USD 20 per tonne from April to June. Acetic Acid prices settled at USD 1180/mt Ex-Works Texas in the final week of June.
Asia Pacific
In the second quarter of 2021, the regional market of Acetic Acid witnessed a state of supply-demand imbalance as a ripple effect of the sudden turnaround of several production facilities across the region, which further added to the market tightness. At once, South China’s Acetic Acid market was out of stock during the first half of the second quarter which prompted steep surge in the Chinese offers for Acetic Acid. Acetic Acid FOB Qingdao monthly average in June stood at USD 1277 per tonne, observing a growth of USD 200 per tonne from the prices seen in April. Demand from the downstream industries in the Northeast Asian region was healthy as the commercial and industrial activities were at full swing in China. However, in India, demand remained affected due to the second COVID wave which led to partial and complete lockdowns in several states.
Europe
As various US facilities restarted their production after the winter storm, the trading window improved which further boosted the availability of Acetic Acid in Europe during the second quarter. A key Acetic Acid producing facility of INEOS remained on a planned force majeure in April however it did not impact the regional supplies. Demand remained upbeat as offtakes were improved from the construction sector. The traditional slowdown in the European market is unlikely to happen this year as the several key players are trying to replenish their inventories. Massive vaccination program has positively impacted the European Acetic Acid market which is expecting improved commercial and industrial activities moving into Q3.
For the Quarter Ending March 2021
North America
The regional Acetic Acid supplies were tight during the first quarter of 2021 amidst constrained availability of the feedstock as the prices of feedstock Methanol surged. Celanese declare force majeure in the mid-February, due to the extreme weather conditions in Texas, US gulf region and delayed the expansion of its new Acetic Acid plant amid unfavourable market conditions. Amidst persistent tight supply, CFR New York Acetic Acid prices were heard around USD 930 per MT, while FOB Texas settlements were rangebound between 775-780 per MT in mid-Feb. However, the demand remained upbeat due to strong increment in consumption from the downstream VAM as well as for delivering scheduled export orders as major economies around the globe normalised.
Asia-Pacific (APAC)
The supply of Acetic Acid improved, but remained balanced throughout the quarter, as the several major plants restarted after turnaround in China since late December, but the shutdown due to Chinese Lunar New Year kept the steadiness. Steady consumption from the downstream sectors bolstered the demand of acetic acid in the APAC region. Inclined demand and unavailability of required Acetic acid resulted in surged prices in the Asian market, even the prices in India witnessed a continuous uptrend while maintain an average of USD 982/ton on CFR JNPT basis.
Europe
During the first quarter of 2021, the supplies of Acetic Acid were tight in the European region, as imports from the US were constrained due to the plant outages, followed by the strongly rising prices in the region. Although, its surged consumption from the downstream acetate sectors increased the overall demand of Acetic Acid. In northwest Europe, traders seemed desperate to secure more volumes led by strong competition in the local market, which further resulted in increment in the prices of Acetic Acid in the European region.
For the Quarter Ending September 2020
Asia
Asian Acetic Acid sentiments took a driver’s seat in the third quarter due to a strong demand from the downstream sectors as several plants resumed operations and ramped up production after prolonged disruptions in several parts of Southeast Asia. Chinese Acetic Acid operating rates showed substantial improvement in Q3 2020, hovering around 80-82% compared to the level of 60s in the previous quarter. Firming crude oil further lent strong support to the Acetic Acid futures which headed towards recovery backed by greater activity in the Indian market which has reported strong performance from acetyl intermediates and downstream Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM).
North America
The North American Acetic Acid market remained under pressure during the third quarter owing to hurt sentiments in the United States and Canada. Major Acetic Acid producers in the region witnessed substantial decline in the quarterly numbers especially due to weakened acrylic Acetyl Chain segment which slumped by double-digits year over year in the second quarter due to persistent decline in industry pricing resulting from deflationary environment for raw materials.
Middle East
All key Middle eastern Acetic Acid production sites were running at improved rates as players reported surge in the demand from the downstream VAM producers. Prices took a big leap compared to the last quarter while buyers appeared able to absorb the declared increase. Some price relief could be expected in the upcoming quarter, depending on the feedstock and the buyer’s response towards the year end.
