US and Germany See Cold Rolled Coil Price Drops, While China Sees Modest Increase
US and Germany See Cold Rolled Coil Price Drops, While China Sees Modest Increase

US and Germany See Cold Rolled Coil Price Drops, While China Sees Modest Increase

  • 23-Jan-2025 8:30 PM
  • Journalist: Lucy Terry

This week, the global Cold Rolled Coil market presents a dynamic landscape shaped by distinct regional narratives. In the USA and Germany, prices of Cold Rolled Coil dipped largely influenced by increased supply as mills cautiously adjusted production and decrease in demand.  Meanwhile, in China, prices of Cold Rolled Coil edged up supported by tight supply and strong demand.

The Cold Rolled Coil in the USA, where prices have decreased by 1.3%. This decline is influenced by increased supply levels, as mills cautiously adjust production in response to shifting market dynamics. Distributors are offering competitive pricing amid a backdrop of winter storms disrupting supply chains across five states, complicating transportation logistics. Additionally, demand for Cold Rolled Coil remains under pressure from various sectors, notably the housing market, which is experiencing a notable downturn. Home prices have fallen by 1.8% year-over-year, with mortgage demand plummeting by nearly 22% in late December. This trend is largely driven by a consumer shift towards smaller, more affordable homes, compounded by broader economic uncertainties, forcing many buyers to delay purchasing decisions.

The German Cold Rolled Coil market reflects broader European challenges, with prices dipping by 0.4% per metric ton FD-Ruhr, highlighting a complex interplay of regional and international market forces. This decline emerges amid a landscape of operational adjustments, where domestic producers are scaling back production—shifting from double to single shifts—in response to subdued market conditions. While domestic supply remains adequate, Asian imports struggle to gain traction despite competitive pricing, primarily due to extended lead times and less attractive payment structures. Moreover, the weakness in demand of Cold Rolled Coil for both Northern and Southern European markets, with Italian buyers' resistance to current price levels suggesting a broader regional pricing pressure. This situation serves as a barometer for global market health, indicating that recovery might depend on broader economic improvements rather than isolated market factors.

The Chinese Cold Rolled Coil market experienced a nuanced, with prices inching up by 0.5%. This price movement is underpinned by a tight supply scenario as the Lunar New Year approaches, a period traditionally marked by production slowdowns and reduced material availability. Additionally, logistical challenges, exacerbated by adverse weather conditions, have further constrained the supply chain, even as production levels exceed last year's figures. On the demand side, the market witnessed a modest uptick in purchasing activity, driven by pre-festival buying. This resilience in demand has led to continuous inventory reductions, reflecting price increase.

According to ChemAnalyst, Cold Rolled Coil sales in the U.S., Germany, and China are expected to decline, primarily due to reduced purchasing activity and abundant supply levels.

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