UAE Barite Prices Drop as Geopolitical Instability and Weak Oil Demand Forecasts Weigh on Market
- 06-Dec-2024 7:30 PM
- Journalist: Motoki Sasaki
The United Arab Emirates Barite market experienced a marginal price decline in November, driven by multiple interconnected factors. The downturn stemmed from downstream industries' cautious procurement strategies, with most manufacturers maintaining existing inventories and placing orders only on critical needs. OPEC's recent downward revision of oil demand growth forecasts contributed to market uncertainty, while regional geopolitical instabilities and potential policy changes in the United States further complicated market dynamics.
The UAE's non-oil private sector maintained its growth momentum, with increased new business activities driving market sentiment. Despite this positive backdrop, downstream industries approached Barite procurement strategically, primarily placing orders on an as-needed basis. Many sectors already maintained substantial Barite inventories, moderating immediate purchasing requirements. The construction sector remained a key demand driver, supported by strong economic fundamentals and strategic government initiatives. The UAE's real estate market continues to exhibit growth, sustaining interest in Barite-related applications.
Significant developments in the energy sector have notably influenced the Barite market. ADNOC Offshore's contract for the second phase of the Upper Zakum field expansion represents a substantial opportunity, aiming to increase oil output capacity to 1.2 million barrels per day. This project involves comprehensive engineering and construction activities across four artificial islands. Additionally, a pivotal market movement emerged with ADNOC Drilling and Alpha Dhabi Holding's collaborative enterprise, Enersol, acquiring a 95% stake in Deep Well Services. This strategic acquisition is expected to bolster conventional and unconventional energy resource development, creating some momentum for the Barite market.
However, the Barite market faces several external challenges. OPEC's recent adjustment of oil demand growth forecasts has introduced price volatility. Geopolitical uncertainties, including regional instability and potential shifts in US policy, have further complicated market dynamics. Freight rates have also played a crucial role in market pricing. Container spot freight rates in Asia to middle east route remained relatively stable, with anticipated mid-November rate increases failing to materialize. Shipping firms continue to navigate challenging periods, with demand patterns showing subtle improvements.
The ongoing uncertainty in global oil markets, coupled with OPEC's conservative demand forecasts, is expected to maintain downward pressure on Barite prices. While the UAE's robust construction sector and strategic energy projects may provide some market stabilization, geopolitical tensions and potential shifts in international trade policies could further impact pricing dynamics. Additionally, the current trend of strategic inventory management by downstream industries suggests a cautious approach to procurement. ChemAnalyst predicts that the prices of Barite will persist in a downward trend over the upcoming months.