Global Benzene Market Struggles with Volatility, Enters December on a Bearish Note
- 13-Dec-2024 9:00 PM
- Journalist: Marcel Proust
Global Benzene market showcased an overall instability in early December, majorly inclined to sluggish demand across key downstream sectors and stable production costs. As Benzene production relies heavily on crude oil and naphtha, any fluctuations in feedstock prices directly influence its market value. Major consuming industries, including polymers, aromatics, and solvents, are experiencing subdued demand, intensifying downward pressure on Benzene prices. The persistent weakness in downstream activity has limited the potential for a market recovery, exacerbating challenges for producers and buyers alike.
The ongoing volatility in crude oil prices has added another layer of uncertainty to the Benzene market. Unpredictable feedstock costs have complicated pricing strategies and heightened fears of an oversupplied market. Analysts caution that an influx of surplus Benzene could further suppress prices, extending the current period of market instability. Stakeholders are closely monitoring global production trends and demand trajectories of multiple commodities including Benzene to assess potential imbalances.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices have shown signs of stabilization, supported by stronger policy signals from Chinese authorities. These signals have revived expectations for significant stimulus measures in 2025. However, the Benzene price gains remain limited as market participants await more concrete policy details.
In a related development, the International Energy Agency (IEA) noted that OPEC+’s recent decision to delay a planned output increase has eased concerns about a supply surplus in the coming year. OPEC+ announced it would postpone the reversal of voluntary production cuts by several months, with a longer timeline set for restoring full output.
Despite this adjustment, the IEA’s Oil Market Report (OMR) predicts the oil market could still face substantial oversupply in the following year. This outlook is attributed to continued overproduction by certain OPEC+ members, strong output growth from non-OPEC+ producers, and modest global demand.
The petrochemicals sector is expected to drive future demand growth, although consumption of transport fuels remains limited. Meanwhile, China's oil demand continues to underperform, falling short of earlier expectations. This fluctuations in the Asian market may impact the Benzene availability and the demand outlook in the North American market as well.
Carriers are reportedly implementing substantial General Rate Increase (GRIs) to boost rates at the start of the month. However, the window to move shipments from Asia to the East Coast before the strike deadline is narrowing. With inventories already stocked from earlier frontloading and tariffs still months away, sustaining early December rate hikes may prove challenging. Nevertheless, rates could climb later in the month or early January as Lunar New Year approaches, potentially driving increased shipping activity.
As 2025 approaches, the petrochemical industry faces mounting challenges amid economic volatility and shifting regulations. ChemAnalyst anticipate delayed price rebounds in the Benzene market due to persistent global demand weakness. Benzene and other petrochemical industry stakeholders are recalibrating their strategies to navigate the evolving landscape and address uncertainties in the year ahead.