Fumaric Acid Prices Continue to Downtrend for the Second Consecutive Month
- 05-Aug-2024 2:54 PM
- Journalist: Li Hua
In the past two months, the Fumaric Acid market has witnessed a significant and sustained decline in prices, reflecting a complex interplay of economic, geopolitical, and seasonal factors. This downward trajectory, observed in both June and July, has been particularly pronounced in major exporting and manufacturing regions.
The initial downturn of Fumaric Acid began in June, with the trend intensifying into July. The first week of July saw a notable price drop, primarily due to the depreciation of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar. This currency devaluation diminished arbitrage opportunities for Chinese exporters, resulting in increased domestic supply and diminished global competitiveness. Concurrently, ongoing geopolitical tensions disrupted trade flows and elevated freight charges, further complicating the global supply chain for Fumaric Acid.
A crucial factor contributing to this price decline of Fumaric Acid is the oversupply situation triggered by reduced demand both domestically and internationally. The market was already experiencing sluggish demand, exacerbated by upcoming scheduled shutdowns of manufacturing plants from late June to July. These shutdowns led to an increased focus on destocking inventories, particularly for heat-sensitive powdered products like Fumaric Acid. This, combined with lower-than-average cargo availability and slower shipments, intensified the downward pressure on prices.
The deflationary pressures observed in the Fumaric Acid market are indicative of broader industrial sector challenges, driven by overcapacity and sluggish demand. In addition, the real estate sector in China, a significant driver of the country's economy, also experienced price reductions in June. This broader deflationary trend has raised concerns among policymakers and economists about the risk of a deflationary spiral, where declining prices lead to reduced spending and investment, potentially further weakening economic growth.
Further compounding the situation are the downward trends in raw material prices, particularly Maleic Anhydride, which have put additional pressure on Fumaric Acid prices. The seasonal factors, such as the anticipated shutdowns and the need to manage inventory levels, have exacerbated the situation for the Fumaric Acid market. Additionally, logistical challenges, including lower-than-average cargo availability and slower shipment times, have added to the complexities in the Fumaric Acid market.
In major importing countries, the trend has been similarly downward for Fumaric Acid. The global market has experienced a significant price decline due to the convergence of various factors, including increased competition from lower production costs in major manufacturing and exporting regions. This competition has intensified pricing pressures and raised concerns about the long-term viability and profitability of the industry. U.S. buyers, anticipating further price reductions, have delayed new purchases, worsening the supply-demand imbalance and adding further downward pressure on prices.
Companies across the industry have responded by liquidating stockpiled inventories to reduce storage costs and mitigate the risk of product spoilage. This influx of excess supply into the market has further diminished buyers' willingness to pay higher prices. Moreover, the stagnation in raw material prices, driven by oversupply and weak demand, has added additional downward pressure on Fumaric Acid prices.
Overall, the continuous decline in Fumaric Acid prices over the past two months underscores the complexities and challenges faced by the industry. As market conditions evolve, stakeholders will need to navigate these dynamics carefully to adapt to the shifting landscape and address the broader economic implications of these price movements.