Asian Cumene Market Struggles to Hold the Pace in December 2024
Asian Cumene Market Struggles to Hold the Pace in December 2024

Asian Cumene Market Struggles to Hold the Pace in December 2024

  • 07-Jan-2025 5:45 PM
  • Journalist: S. Jayavikraman

As of early December, Cumene prices in Asia have continued to fall, driven by weak demand from key downstream industries such as phenol, acetone, and other solvent-requiring sectors. With sluggish market conditions persisting, Cumene producers and suppliers in the region have opted to maintain steady prices, refraining from any increases. This decision comes as manufacturers face reduced inquiries from end-use industries, leading them to adopt a cautious pricing strategy to avoid further slowing market activity.

This approach reflects broader efforts by Cumene manufacturers to manage the delicate balance of supply and demand amidst continued market challenges. By keeping prices stable, suppliers aim to prevent further disruption to already tepid market conditions, demonstrating the challenges of navigating the current environment.

The outlook for Cumene in Asia remains uncertain, with factors like increased production capacity, seasonal gas shortages, and shifting downstream demand expected to impact the market. Additionally, logistical pressures are growing, especially with rising shipping costs. Rates for containerized shipments and liquid chemical tankers are facing significant fluctuations, adding another layer of uncertainty to the Cumene supply chain.

Cumene is a critical intermediate chemical used in producing phenol and acetone, essential to industries like plastics, pharmaceuticals, and coatings. As the demand from these downstream sectors weakens, Cumene producers are concerned that the availability and cost of the chemical could be further impacted by growing logistical challenges. Rising shipping rates have already strained the supply chain, particularly for chemicals and polymers.

Shipping rates from Asia to the US have surged due to a potential strike at Gulf and East Coast ports, coupled with increased pre-Lunar New Year demand. Rates could remain high due to January's general rate increases from ship owners. This is impacting both containerized polymer shipments and liquid chemical tankers, like those carrying Cumene. While Cumene is usually shipped in liquid tankers, its supply chain overlaps with polymer pellets like polyethylene and polypropylene, typically shipped in containers. Higher shipping costs and potential tariff hikes could cause logistical bottlenecks, raising prices for Cumene and other chemicals, affecting industries dependent on them.

As ship owners await contract nominations, Cumene producers are closely monitoring these developments, with the post-Lunar New Year dip in volumes expected to be less pronounced than usual, as many US shippers frontload ahead of anticipated tariff increases. Industry stakeholders are bracing for potential disruptions in the availability and pricing of Cumene in the coming months, as market pressures continue to build. As per ChemAnalyst, the Cumene prices in the Asian market is expected to move with slow pace in coming weeks and the first half of the quarter with witness gloomy outlook.

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