For the Quarter Ending September 2024
North America
In the quarter ending September 2024, the North American Unsaturated Polyester Resin market experienced a significant price increase, influenced by several key factors. Stable demand in the construction sector, constrained supply levels, and rising production costs were the primary drivers behind this upward trend. Throughout the quarter, both demand and supply dynamics remained stable, supporting a steady climb in prices.
The U.S. market saw the most pronounced price changes, with an overall increase compared to the previous quarter. However, a price comparison between the first and second halves of the quarter revealed a decline, indicating a consistent downward trend as the third quarter came to a close.
By the end of the quarter, Unsaturated Polyester Resin supplies in the U.S. were sufficient, with ample stock availability. Additionally, rising Maleic Anhydride prices further impacted pricing dynamics for Unsaturated Polyester Resins. Overall, the market maintained a stable sentiment, with prices steadily increasing due to robust demand, supply constraints, and elevated production costs.
APAC
In the quarter ending September 2024, the APAC region witnessed a challenging period for Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) pricing, marked by a consistent decline in prices. Several factors contributed to this downward trend, including weakened demand in the construction sector, oversupply issues, and increased operational costs during the third quarter of 2024. These challenges led to a bearish market sentiment, with prices experiencing a significant decrease of 10% from the previous quarter. China, in particular, experienced substantial price fluctuations, with the UPR market showing the most significant changes. The overall trend in China reflected a downward trajectory, influenced by economic uncertainties and muted demand. The quarter-ending price of USD 1775/MT of UPR FOB Shanghai highlighted the prevailing negative pricing environment.
Supply chain-related disruptions, such as plant shutdowns at key facilities, further impacted the market dynamics, exacerbating supply constraints and adding to the pricing pressures. Despite some seasonal fluctuations, the correlation in price changes across the region indicated a consistent decrease throughout Q3 2024.
Europe
Throughout the quarter ending September 2024, the Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) market in Europe experienced a period of declining prices. This trend was primarily influenced by a combination of factors such as weak demand in the downstream construction sector, ample supply, and competitive pricing strategies in the region. The Eurozone construction PMI indicated a sharp decline in construction activity, with new orders decreasing significantly in September 2024. This led to a notable reduction in construction jobs, alongside declines in household consumption, business investment, and housing investment, reflecting weakened regional demand. The ongoing economic challenges and rising energy costs further added to the downward pressure on prices. European market witnessed the most significant price changes during this period, reflecting the broader market trends seen across Europe. The correlation between the first and second half of the quarter revealed a significant price drop, emphasizing the consistent downward trend in UPR pricing. In the third quarter of 2024, European UPR experienced tightening conditions driven by both planned and unplanned outages, although demand remained sluggish due to weak manufacturing activity.
MEA
The third quarter of 2024 witnessed a challenging period for the Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) market in the MEA region, characterized by a notable decrease in prices. Several factors contributed to this downward trend, including weakened demand in the construction sector, increased supply levels, and global economic uncertainties impacting market sentiment. The market grappled with excess inventory levels, leading to pricing pressures as manufacturers sought to balance supply and demand dynamics. Additionally, disruptions in the supply chain, such as longer shipping routes and capacity constraints, added further complexity to the pricing environment. In the United Arab Emirates specifically, the UPR market experienced the most significant price changes, with a notable 9% decline from the previous quarter. The first half of the quarter saw prices decreasing by 10.6% compared to the second half, reflecting ongoing price adjustments in response to market conditions. The quarter-ending price stood at USD 1658/MT of UPR FOB Jebel Ali, underscoring the prevailing negative sentiment in the pricing landscape. Despite some seasonal variations, the overall trend indicated a challenging period for UPR pricing in the UAE, marked by a consistent decline in prices.
For the Quarter Ending June 2024
North America
In Q2 2024, the North American market for Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) experienced a notable increase in prices, driven by constrained supply and heightened input costs, particularly due to limited inventories and rising crude oil prices, which reached a two-month high. Additionally, severe weather conditions, including the hurricane season and floods, disrupted industrial demand and production rates, further tightening supply chains.
The combined effects of these disruptions, along with a shortage of containers and logistical challenges, fueled an upward trajectory in the UPR prices. Focusing on the USA, the country experienced the most significant price fluctuations within the region. Seasonal factors, such as the hurricane season, exacerbated supply constraints, leading to an increase in the cost pressure during this quarter.
From the supply chain perspective, supplies from the US Gulf to Asia have seen a sharp decline at the end of June 2024, as plant shutdowns and delays in the aftermath of Hurricane Beryl have created significant gaps in shipping capacity, according to shipping brokers. In anticipation of the storm, some UPR-producing plants took precautionary measures and shut down, while others sustained damage or lost power, leading to further shutdowns and declarations of force majeure.
APAC
In Q2 2024, the Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) market in the APAC region experienced a notable downturn, influenced predominantly by moderate demand and ample inventory levels. This quarter has been marked by a confluence of factors that have collectively driven prices downward. A significant decline in upstream crude oil prices, exacerbated by OPEC's extended output cuts, played a crucial role in alleviating cost pressures on UPR production at the start of the quarter. Additionally, logistical disruptions resulting from the Red Sea crisis further compounded the bearish market sentiment by impeding smooth trade flows. Manufacturing activities in the region recorded a sluggish pace, with firms adopting a cautious approach towards inventory holdings and purchasing activities, contributing to the oversupply scenario. In China, the epicenter of price changes, UPR prices manifested substantial declines amidst subdued downstream demand, particularly from the weakened real estate sector. The quarter witnessed an overall bearish trend, with seasonality factors failing to invigorate substantial industry demand. The correlation between decreasing input costs and conservative purchasing behavior amidst economic uncertainties propelled the downward trajectory. The quarter-ending price for UPR stood at USD 2030/MT FOB Shanghai, underscoring a persistently negative pricing environment throughout this period. The overall trend highlighted a market grappling with challenges, where declines in demand and cost reductions dictated a predominantly negative pricing landscape.
Europe
In Q2 2024, the Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) market in Europe experienced a marginal decrease in prices. This decline was driven by several key factors, including subdued domestic demand within the construction sector, and intensified competition among regional sellers. Additionally, the economic outlook remained uncertain, exacerbating the bearish market sentiments. Shipping disruptions and logistical challenges further compounded the market's instability, causing many producers to reduce output rates. Focusing on Germany, where the most significant price changes occurred, the market dynamics closely mirrored the broader regional trends. German UPR prices fell sharply, influenced by a combination of high production costs and weak downstream demand, particularly from the construction industry. Overall, the pricing environment for UPR in Germany during Q2 2024 has been marginal negative, driven by structural market weaknesses and supply-related disruptions. Additionally, port operations were affected by a workers’ strike impacting ports such as Hamburg, Bremen, Bremerhaven, Brake, and Emden in June 2024. The dispute over the collective agreement has led to strikes at German container ports, halting activities at the Port of Hamburg for two days before a fourth round of negotiations began. The strikes later affected Wilhelmshaven, Bremen, and Emden, causing operational disruptions at container terminals. A prolonged strike could delay operations at Hamburg and Bremerhaven ports in August, severely impacting German exports, particularly in the automotive and machinery sectors.
MEA
In Q2 2024, the pricing of Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) in the MEA region experienced a decline, driven by several key factors. The primary reasons for the downward trend include moderate demand, sufficient inventory levels, and significant reductions in input costs. The overall market sentiment has been bearish as upstream crude oil prices have continued to fall, alleviating cost pressures on UPR production. Additionally, the Red Sea crisis has disrupted logistics, particularly affecting overseas demand due to shipment delays and congestion at major ports in the region. Focusing on the United Arab Emirates, which has witnessed the most significant price changes, the overall trend for UPR pricing has been negative. The market saw fluctuations influenced by seasonality, with demand remaining subdued and downstream companies adopting a cautious approach. The reduction in purchasing activity and rising production levels led to declining stock levels of finished goods. Major disruptions, such as the shutdown of the Laffan Resin Production Factory in Qatar due to floods in April, further strained the supply chain, impacting regional supply levels and contributing to the bearish market sentiment. The quarter concluded with the UPR price at USD 1855/MT FOB Jebel Ali in the United Arab Emirates, reflecting a consistently decreasing pricing environment throughout Q2. This negative trend underscores the challenging market conditions faced by the UPR sector in the MEA region during this period.
For the Quarter Ending March 2024
North America
During Q1 2024, the North American Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) market exhibited a bullish trend driven by increased production costs and product scarcity in the region. The price of upstream Crude Oil surged by approximately 9.5%, elevating production costs and subsequently impacting UPR prices.
Geopolitical concerns and supply constraints prompted this increase in Crude Oil prices, which in turn affected UPR pricing dynamics and contributed to inflationary pressures. The efforts by OPEC Plus to limit oil supplies, led notably by Saudi Arabia’s oil minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, resulted in significant production trims amounting to around five million barrels per day, or roughly 5% of global supply. This, along with the Red Sea crises, weakened supply situations further during the quarter.
The Red Sea crises disrupted global trade, with Suez Canal trade dropping by 50% year-over-year in the first two months of 2024, while the Panama Canal experienced a 32% decline in trade due to severe drought conditions. These disruptions forced shipping companies to divert routes, significantly increasing delivery times and impacting companies with limited inventories. In summary, Q1 2024 witnessed heightened market volatility in the North American UPR sector due to increased Crude Oil prices, supply constraints influenced by geopolitical factors and crises, and substantial disruptions in global trade routes affecting supply chains and macroeconomic indicators.
Europe
The European Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) market witnessed a bullish trend during the first quarter of 2024, primarily driven by expensive imports from overseas markets such as the USA and UAE, where similar bullish market conditions prevailed. The rising cost of upstream Crude Oil globally contributed to an increase in production costs for UPR, further influencing market dynamics. The surge in Crude Oil prices was fuelled by escalating tensions in the Middle East, OPEC supply cuts, and ongoing conflicts between Ukraine and Russia. Additionally, heightened oil demand from major consuming nations tightened the market. In March, Brent crude futures surged over 8%, reaching $92.10 per barrel, the highest level in six months. Tensions between Iran and Israel added to this volatility in oil prices. Furthermore, the Red Sea crises during the quarter significantly affected product imports, leading to increased surcharges and traders opting for premium insurance. Container shipping faced substantial disruptions, with vessels rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope to avoid Houthi attacks in the Red Sea. Major ocean carriers suspended Red Sea transits, causing travel durations and freight expenses to increase notably. These disruptions, combined with the Panama Canal drought, contributed to a surge in ocean shipment rates, with container shipping rates from Asia to Europe increasing by 300%. The overall impact on marine fuel demand and insurance risk premiums further influenced market conditions in the European UPR sector during Q1 2024.
MEA
In Q1 2024, the pricing environment for Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) in the MEA region experienced various factors that influenced market prices. These factors led to significant price changes, particularly in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which saw the maximum price fluctuations. Overall, the market for UPR in the MEA region exhibited a positive pricing trend during this quarter. The demand for UPR remained moderate to high, driven by increased demand from the downstream construction industry. This surge in demand was supported by a rebound in construction activities and rising costs. However, the supply of UPR was low, primarily due to supply chain risks and potential delays. This constrained supply, coupled with higher production costs, resulted in a bullish market situation. The pricing dynamics in the UAE market mirrored the overall trends in the region. Prices of UPR witnessed an upward trend in February 2024, mainly propelled by an increase in upstream Crude Oil values. However, in January 2024, there was a notable increase in prices due to higher material costs, particularly in ocean freight categories. This increase was a result of carriers diverting ships from the Suez Canal, leading to surcharges and higher costs associated with extended routes. The pricing trend for UPR in the UAE during this quarter showed a bearish phase in December 2023, with a notable decrease in prices. This was primarily attributed to ample product availability and low overseas demand. However, there was a slight rebound in prices in February and March 2024, driven by increased demand and the impact of upstream Crude Oil prices. In conclusion, the pricing environment for UPR in the MEA region, particularly in the UAE, has experienced fluctuations influenced by factors such as supply chain risks, demand from the construction industry, and upstream Crude Oil prices. The overall trend has been positive, with a bullish market situation and a slight rebound in prices during Q1 2024. The latest quarter-ending price for UPR in the UAE was USD 1863/MT FOB Jebel Ali.
APAC
The pricing landscape of Unsaturated Polyester Resin (UPR) in the APAC region during Q1 2024 has been influenced by various factors, resulting in significant price changes. Overall, the market has experienced a mix of positive and negative trends. In the APAC region, the pricing of UPR has been driven by factors such as the supply-demand dynamics, fluctuations in upstream Crude Oil prices, and the impact of global events on shipping and logistics. The market has witnessed both bullish and bearish trends, with prices fluctuating accordingly. India, in particular, has seen the maximum price changes during this quarter. The prices of UPR in India have shown a bearish trend, primarily due to the availability of cheaper imports from Malaysia and the UAE. Additionally, the demand for UPR in India has been low, with market players adopting a cautious approach towards trading activities. In terms of seasonality, the pricing environment for UPR in India has been affected by the year-end trend, leading to muted trading activities and strategic destocking by traders. However, there are positive indicators such as the expansion of the manufacturing sector and a strengthening business outlook for the year ahead. Looking at the quarter as a whole, there has been a significant percentage change in prices compared to the same quarter last year. However, the percentage change from the previous quarter in 2024 has been relatively stable. In conclusion, the pricing environment for UPR in the APAC region, particularly in India, has been influenced by various factors, resulting in significant price changes. The overall sentiment has been mixed, with a bearish trend in India but positive indicators in terms of the manufacturing sector and business outlook. The latest quarter-ending price for Unsaturated Polyester Resin CFR JNPT in India was USD 1851/MT.
For the Quarter Ending December 2023
North America
In the fourth quarter of 2023, the North American Unsaturated Polyester Resin market faced a bearish trend, marked by challenging operating conditions stemming from subdued demand both domestically and internationally. The lacklustre demand was attributed to an oversupply in the market, creating an imbalance.
As the year-end approaches, promotional sales may prompt destocking activities, potentially leading to a decline in product costs. Despite a gradual decline in the preceding month, Mexico witnessed stability in Unsaturated Polyester Resin GP prices, with consistent supply from traders meeting the country's requirements. The appreciation of the Mexican Peso by 3.43% against the USD in the first week of November 2023 added a stabilizing factor.
Notably, the Unsaturated Polyester Resin CFR Veracruz in Mexico experienced a significant decrease in prices compared to the previous quarter, with decrease in price during the second half of the quarter. The overall downturn in Unsaturated Polyester Resin, influenced by weak demand and merchant hesitancy, suggests a potential short-term decrease in the global market.
Europe
In the fourth quarter of 2023, Unsaturated Polyester Resin pricing in the European region experienced a notable downturn, primarily driven by weakened demand from downstream industries. The market conditions were characterized by an oversupply of Unsaturated Polyester Resin, contributing to a subdued demand environment. The diminished interest in the product can be traced back to the prevailing surplus in the market. Downstream sectors, particularly in automotive and construction, exhibited a cautious approach to procurement, opting for essential purchases only. Despite this challenging scenario, the European market maintained ample material availability to fulfil domestic requirements, providing a supportive backdrop for the Unsaturated Polyester Resin market. Germany, a key player in the region, witnessed a substantial decline in Unsaturated Polyester Resin prices. This decline can be attributed to factors such as customer reluctance, geopolitical uncertainties, and higher interest rates impacting overall demand. The market continued to grapple with the trend of offloading inventories, as industry players strategically managed stock levels in anticipation of the upcoming winter holidays. Contributing factors to the market dynamics included the prevalence of cheaper imports of PP from overseas, low production costs, and obstacles in trading activities attributed to the winter season.
APAC
The fourth quarter of 2023 (October to December) was a challenging period for the Unsaturated Polyester Resin market in the APAC region. One of the key factors that affected the market was the expensive imports from Malaysia and the UAE, which led to a rise in prices. The controlled supplies and positive price revisions by manufacturers contributed to the increase in prices. Additionally, the market performance in India stood out compared to other Asian nations, with the government investing in the wind energy sector under clean energy initiatives. During this quarter, there were no reported plant shutdowns in the APAC region. Focusing on India, the country experienced a stable demand for Unsaturated Polyester Resin throughout the quarter, with traders cautiously managing their inventories. In terms of pricing trends, the Unsaturated Polyester Resin CFR JNPT price in India for the current quarter is USD 1771/MT. Overall, the fourth quarter of 2023 witnessed a rise in prices due to expensive imports and controlled supplies. The market in India remained stable, but demand is expected to remain unchanged in December.
MEA
The fourth quarter of 2023 in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) Unsaturated Polyester Resin market unfolded with diverse trends. Several factors played pivotal roles in shaping market dynamics and prices during this period. While overall demand for the product remained steady both domestically and in the international market, a discernible decline in exports to major Asian importers, notably India, resulted in an overall supply decrease. Market players strategically managed their supplies, contributing to a moderately balanced supply situation. Cautious inventory management practices by traders further upheld stability in demand and supply dynamics. Notably, no plant shutdowns were reported within this timeframe, reflecting a resilient operational landscape. Among MEA countries, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) witnessed substantial shifts in Unsaturated Polyester Resin prices. Following consistent declines in previous months, prices in the UAE market marginally increased in November. This uptick was attributed to optimized cargo movements and the UAE's pivotal role in exporting the product to India. As of the current quarter, the price of Unsaturated Polyester Resin FOB Jebel Ali in the UAE stands at USD 1730/MT, with no significant percentage change compared to the preceding year's fourth quarter.
