For the Quarter Ending September 2024
North America
The third quarter of 2024 has been challenging for the Polycarbonate market in North America, marked by a significant decrease in prices. Several factors have influenced this downturn in the third quarter of the year. The persistent low demand from key industries such as automotive and construction has played a crucial role in driving prices down. Additionally, high freight rates and increased imports have contributed to the bearish trend.
In Mexico, where the most substantial price changes have been observed, market dynamics have been heavily impacted. The decrease this quarter reflected the ongoing challenges faced by the industry. Furthermore, the -18% change from the previous quarter in 2024 highlights the continued downward trajectory. The comparison between the first and second half of the quarter, showing a 5.5% decrease, further emphasizes the negative trend.
The latest quarter-ending price of USD 2130/MT of Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR Veracruz in Mexico signifies the prevailing decrease in prices. Overall, the pricing environment has been predominantly negative, with stability remaining elusive.
Asia
The third quarter of 2024 has seen a significant decline in Polycarbonate prices across the APAC region, influenced by various factors. Market dynamics such as decreased demand in key industries like automotive and construction, disruptions in the global supply chain due to natural disasters, and the overall deflationary trend have all contributed to the downward pressure on prices. Japan, in particular, has experienced the most notable price changes during this period. The overall trend in Japan reflects a consistent decrease in prices, with a correlation between decreased demand and lowered pricing. Compared to the previous quarter in 2024, prices have dropped by 1%, with a further 1% decrease noted in the second half of the quarter. The quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Tokyo in Japan stands at USD 2115/MT, highlighting the persistently negative pricing environment in the region. Global ocean freight rates from Asia eased in early September as the peak shipping season came to an end. A similar trend is seen in the Mediterranean, where rates have fallen. Port congestion in East Asia remained a significant issue, although better transshipment practices helped to manage waiting times. Overall, the slight decrease in ocean freight rates suggested a potential market shift as peak season demand wanes.
Europe
In Q3 2024, the European Polycarbonate market experienced a significant decline in prices. This downward trend was further emphasized by a -15% decrease from the previous quarter in 2024. The market saw a continuous negative trend, with a -5% change between the first and second half of the quarter. Various factors contributed to the declining prices, including persistently low demand from the automotive sector, leading to oversupply and reduced production rates. The market also faced challenges such as reduced consumption, increased freight rates, and sluggish economic growth, all impacting the pricing environment negatively. Germany, as a key player in the market, experienced the most significant price changes, reflecting the overall bearish sentiment. The latest quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FD Hamburg in Germany stood at USD 2285/MT, indicating a challenging period for the industry characterized by decreasing prices and uncertain market conditions. This decline was further supported by the steady prices of feedstock Bisphenol A, which helped stabilize production costs during this time frame.
Middle East Asia
In the third quarter of 2024, the Polycarbonate market in the MEA region witnessed a significant downturn in prices, influenced by various factors. The Polycarbonate market experienced a challenging quarter. The decline of 1% from the previous quarter further accentuated the downward trend. Key factors impacting prices included weakened demand from the automotive sector, low-cost supplies, and reduced upstream cost pressures. Additionally, a persistent downturn in the futures market and an imbalance between supply and demand exerted pressure on prices. Saudi Arabia, in particular, saw the most significant price changes, with prices declining by 1% from the first half to the second half of the quarter. The quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Jeddah in Saudi Arabia stood at USD 1835/MT, reflecting the prevailing negative pricing environment in the region. Despite some fluctuations, the overall trend in Q3 indicated a consistent decrease in Polycarbonate prices in the MEA region. The upstream Crude oil prices declined as the halting of production and exports was viewed by market participants as a short-term disruption rather than a prolonged interruption.
South America
Throughout Q3 2024, the South America region experienced a significant decline in Polycarbonate prices, with Brazil being the most affected. This quarter saw a negative trend in prices, influenced by various factors. The persistent oversupply of Polycarbonate in the market, coupled with weakened demand from key industries like construction and automotive, led to a downward pressure on prices. Cargoes continued to enter the Mexican market despite highway insecurities, leading to longer lead times for deliveries. Additionally, arbitrage opportunities from Asia and the Middle East kept supplies ample in the market. Bisphenol A, a key feedstock for Polycarbonate, also experienced a stable market situation, contributing to consistent production costs and further stabilizing prices. Additionally, the impact of external factors such as fluctuating global freight rates and currency depreciation contributed to the negative price trend. In Brazil specifically, the pricing environment was characterized by a consistent decrease in Polycarbonate prices. The quarter recorded a notable 19% decline from the previous quarter in 2024. The first half of the quarter saw a 5.9% price difference compared to the second half, indicating a continuous downward trajectory. The quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR Santos in Brazil stood at USD 2010/MT, reflecting the prevailing negative sentiment in the market.
For the Quarter Ending June 2024
North America
In Q2 2024, the North American Polycarbonate (PC) market experienced a notable decline in prices due to several macroeconomic and sector-specific factors. The quarter saw reduced production costs driven by falling feedstock prices, particularly Bisphenol A, and a continued decrease in crude oil prices, which collectively lowered manufacturing expenses for Polycarbonate. Despite moderate to high supply levels, demand remained average, especially from key industries such as automobiles and construction.
Elevated freight rates further complicated the export landscape, dampening overseas demand and contributing to the bearish market sentiment. In the USA, where the most significant price changes occurred, the Polycarbonate market showed a consistent downward trend. Prices fell by 34% compared to the same quarter last year, indicating substantial year-over-year erosion. From the previous quarter, prices dropped by 3%, reflecting a steady bearish trend.
Seasonal factors also played a role, with a 9% decline between the first and second halves of the quarter, highlighting the impact of seasonal demand fluctuations. By the end of the quarter, the price of Polycarbonate GP Grade DDP US Gulf was USD 2293/MT, reflecting a negative market sentiment marked by oversupply and reduced export viability amid ongoing economic and logistical challenges.
APAC
In Q2 2024, the Polycarbonate (PC) market in the APAC region experienced significant fluctuations influenced by a myriad of factors, culminating in an overall positive pricing environment. The quarter has been marked by strong demand amid supply constraints, driven by several pivotal elements such as escalating feedstock prices, particularly bisphenol A, and an increase in upstream crude oil rates. Seasonal demand peaks, especially from the construction and automobile sectors, further exacerbated the upward pressure on prices. Additionally, global freight rate hikes and geopolitical uncertainties have compounded supply chain disruptions, adding to the cost burdens faced by manufacturers. Focusing on Japan, the market observed the most pronounced price changes within the APAC region. The Japanese PC market was heavily impacted by the aforementioned global factors, with a notable -9% year-over-year price change and a -3% decrease from the previous quarter in 2024. Despite these declines, the second half of the quarter saw a 1% rise compared to the first half, reflecting a late-quarter recovery. This trend underscores the intricate balance between supply and demand, influenced by seasonality and market sentiment. The quarter concluded with Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Tokyo prices at USD 2183/MT, indicative of a complex yet resilient pricing environment. Overall, the PC market in the APAC region showcased a positive pricing trajectory amidst global economic pressures, with Japan exemplifying the dynamic interplay of market forces. The increasing sentiment throughout the quarter, despite early declines, highlights the market's responsiveness to fluctuating supply-demand dynamics and external economic factors.
Europe
In Q2 2024, the European Polycarbonate market experienced a significant decline in prices due to a combination of factors. A notable drop in upstream crude oil costs, which fell by over 7%, reduced production expenses and pressured Polycarbonate prices downward. The market also faced an oversupply situation, driven by an abundance of raw materials and reduced imports from the Middle East and Asia. This oversupply was compounded by high inventory levels, as manufacturers had overestimated seasonal demand, which failed to materialize. The construction sector, a major consumer of Polycarbonate, also saw a slowdown, contributing to the bearish market trend. In Germany, the price declines were most pronounced, with a -32% change compared to the same quarter last year, reflecting ongoing market challenges and economic uncertainties. Additionally, the quarter-over-quarter decrease was -2%, and a -9% reduction was observed between the first and second halves of the quarter, indicating persistent oversupply and weaker demand. By the end of the quarter, Polycarbonate GP Grade FD Hamburg was priced at USD 2605/MT, highlighting the sustained negative pricing environment. Overall, Q2 2024 in Germany was characterized by a notably negative market sentiment influenced by both external economic factors and internal market dynamics.
MEA
In Q2 2024, the Polycarbonate (PC) market in the MEA region experienced notable price volatility, influenced by several global economic factors. The quarter was marked by significant fluctuations in raw material costs, particularly for feedstock Bisphenol A and upstream crude oil. Additionally, the global freight crisis intensified market challenges, with container freight rates increasing by over 30%, further driving up shipping costs. These elevated production and logistics expenses were key contributors to rising PC prices in the region. Saudi Arabia saw the most pronounced price changes within the MEA market. Despite typically lower demand during the summer months, robust demand from the automobile and construction sectors led to a gradual price increase. Compared to the same quarter last year, PC prices fell by 12%, and there was a 2% decrease from the previous quarter of 2024. The price variation between the first and second halves of the quarter was minimal at 1%, indicating relative market stability. By the end of the quarter, the price of Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Jeddah was USD 1890/MT, reflecting a stable pricing environment. While external cost pressures have influenced prices, the overall market sentiment remains balanced, suggesting a neutral outlook for the near term.
South America
Throughout Q2 2024, the price of Polycarbonate (PC) in the South American market fell by over 13%, primarily due to the impact of cheaper imports from the USA, where prices had decreased. In Brazil, prices dropped by 0.2%, 5.5%, and 8.5% in April, May, and June respectively. This decline was exacerbated by a weak trading environment in the region. The state of Rio Grande do Sul, which relies on both land (truck and rail) and maritime transport for domestic and international supply chains, faced severe disruptions due to floods. These floods blocked roads and highways, suspended railway operations, and caused significant delays at major seaports. The prolonged nature of these disruptions influenced companies' decisions on whether to establish alternative shipping routes or relocate their manufacturing and supply operations. Additionally, the downstream demand for PC from the construction and automobile industries was dampened by the adverse weather conditions, contributing to the bearish market trend in Brazil. By the end of the quarter, the price of Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR Santos (Brazil) was USD 2335/MT.
For the Quarter Ending March 2024
North America
During Q1 2024, the Polycarbonate (PC) market in North America experienced a downward trend in prices. Several factors contributed to this decline, including a decrease in demand from the downstream automobile industry and the availability of cheaper competing materials in the market. Additionally, the global economic slowdown and uncertainties surrounding the Red Sea crisis further dampened market sentiment, leading to a negative pricing environment.
Mexico, in particular, witnessed the maximum price changes in the region. Overall, the PC market in Mexico exhibited a decrease in prices during Q1 2024, with a notable decline of 14% compared to the previous quarter. This decrease was attributed to seasonality and lower demand during the first half of the quarter. However, prices saw a slight recovery in the second half, with a 10% increase in prices compared to the first half of the quarter. The price comparison between the first and second half of the quarter highlights the volatility in the market, indicating a challenging pricing landscape for PC in Mexico. The quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR Veracruz in Mexico stood at USD 2884/MT, reflecting the overall decreasing sentiment in the market.
Overall, Q1 2024 has been characterized by a negative pricing environment for Polycarbonate in the North America region, with Mexico experiencing the most significant price changes. The market has been influenced by various factors, including decreased demand, global economic uncertainties, and seasonality, resulting in a decline in prices.
Europe
The first quarter of 2024 was marked by decreasing prices for Polycarbonate (PC) in the European region. Several factors contributed to this downward trend in market prices. One significant factor was the overall decrease in demand for PC during this period. The demand from various industries, including the automobile sector, experienced a decline, which put downward pressure on prices. Additionally, the global market for PC witnessed a decrease in prices, further impacting the European market. Germany, in particular, experienced the maximum price changes during this quarter. The overall trend in Germany reflected the broader market sentiment, with prices consistently decreasing. Seasonality also played a role, as the first quarter is typically a slower period for the PC market. There was a negative correlation between the price changes in Germany and the overall market, indicating a consistent downward trend. Compared to the same quarter last year, the prices for PC in Germany decreased significantly. The percentage change from the previous quarter in 2024 was recorded at 27%, highlighting the substantial decline in prices. Furthermore, there was an 11% price difference between the first and second half of the quarter, indicating a continuous downward trend. The quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FD Hamburg in Germany was USD 3015/MT, reflecting the overall decreasing sentiment in the market. The pricing environment for PC in the European region during the first quarter of 2024 was predominantly negative, with prices consistently decreasing.
APAC
In Q1 2024, the Polycarbonate (PC) market in the APAC region experienced a consistent downward trend in prices. Several factors influenced the market prices, including sluggish demand from the downstream industries and a decline in the domestic bisphenol A market. The overall operating rate of PC remained stable, but the return of enterprise production capacity was slow, leading to a slight increase in supply. This, coupled with a lack of enthusiasm from terminal enterprises to purchase goods, resulted in weak support for spot prices. Among the APAC countries, Japan saw the maximum price changes in Q1 2024. The market conditions in Japan were influenced by the continuous decline in the domestic bisphenol A market and a lack of robust demand. The overall operating rate of PC in Japan slightly decreased, leading to an abundant spot supply. The market sentiment was cautious, and traders aligned their offers with the subdued market conditions. The demand from the downstream industries, especially automotive, remained sluggish, adding to the bearish trend. Overall, the pricing environment for Polycarbonate in Q1 2024 was negative, with prices experiencing a significant decline. There was an 8% decrease in prices compared to the same quarter last year and a 6% decrease from the previous quarter in 2024. The quarter-ending price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Tokyo in Japan was recorded at USD 2158/MT.
MEA
In Q1 2024, the Polycarbonate (PC) market in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region experienced a downward trend in prices. Several factors contributed to this decline. Firstly, there was an oversupply of PC in the market, which resulted in increased inventories. This oversupply was mainly due to reduced exports from the region, leading to a buildup of PC at ports. Additionally, the ongoing Red Sea crises caused disruptions in shipping and freight rates, further impacting the market. These disruptions led to higher costs and logistical challenges, which in turn put downward pressure on PC prices. Among the countries in the MEA region, Saudi Arabia witnessed the maximum price changes. The overall trend in Saudi Arabia was negative, with prices decreasing throughout the quarter. This decline can be attributed to a combination of factors, including the oversupply situation and the Red Sea crises. Additionally, there was a correlation between the decrease in PC prices and the decrease in crude oil prices during the quarter. Comparing Q1 2024 to the same quarter last year, PC prices in Saudi Arabia decreased. The percentage change from the previous quarter in 2024 was recorded at 13%, indicating a significant decline. Furthermore, there was a price difference between the first and second half of the quarter, with prices dropping by 4%. As the quarter ended, the price of Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Jeddah in Saudi Arabia stood at USD 1880/MT, reflecting the overall decreasing sentiment in the pricing environment.
For the Quarter Ending December 2023
North America
In the fourth quarter of 2023, the North American Polycarbonate market faced a bearish trend, marked by challenging operating conditions stemming from subdued demand both domestically and internationally.
The lacklustre demand can be attributed to an oversupply in the market, creating an imbalance. As the year-end approaches, promotional sales may prompt destocking activities, potentially leading to a decline in product costs. Despite a gradual decline in the preceding month, Mexico witnessed stability in Polycarbonate GP prices, with consistent supply from traders meeting the country's requirements. The appreciation of the Mexican Peso by 3.43% against the USD in the first week of November 2023 added a stabilizing factor.
Notably, the Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR Veracruz in Mexico experienced a significant 22% decrease in prices compared to the previous quarter, with a 1% decrease in price percentage during the second half of the quarter. The latest settled prices of Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR Veracruz in Mexico at the quarter ending December 2023 was USD 2754/MT. The overall downturn in Polycarbonate IM prices, influenced by weak demand and merchant hesitancy, suggests a potential short-term decrease in the global market.
Europe
In the fourth quarter of 2023, Polycarbonate pricing in the European region experienced a notable downturn, primarily driven by weakened demand from downstream industries. The market conditions were characterized by an oversupply of Polycarbonate, contributing to a subdued demand environment. The diminished interest in the product can be traced back to the prevailing surplus in the market. Downstream sectors, particularly in automotive and construction, exhibited a cautious approach to procurement, opting for essential purchases only. Despite this challenging scenario, the European market maintained ample material availability to fulfil domestic requirements, providing a supportive backdrop for the Polycarbonate market. Germany, a key player in the region, witnessed a substantial decline in Polycarbonate prices. This decline can be attributed to factors such as customer reluctance, geopolitical uncertainties, and higher interest rates impacting overall demand. The market trends, seasonality, and correlation price percentage in Germany for Q4 2023 all exhibited a bearish sentiment, with a notable -25% change from the previous quarter and a -13% comparing between the first and second halves of the quarter. As of Q4 2023, the latest price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FD Hamburg in Germany stands at USD 2927 per metric ton, reflecting the complex interplay of market dynamics and external factors influencing pricing trends in the region.
APAC
The fourth quarter of 2023 experienced a bearish trend in the APAC region's Polycarbonate market, largely influenced by a combination of sluggish demand and abundant supply. The subdued demand can be linked to businesses adjusting their inventories and adopting a cautious stance as the fiscal year drew to a close, resulting in a deceleration in overall demand. Moreover, weak customer demand allowed companies to address existing orders, leading to a substantial decrease in work backlogs. The surplus supply available to meet domestic needs contributed to a bearish trend in prices. Japan, in particular, experienced significant price fluctuations, with a -3% decline from the previous quarter and a -9% price comparison between the first and second halves of the quarter. Despite stable correlations between prices and seasonality, the overall market sentiment leaned towards a bearish outlook. The recorded price for Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Tokyo in Japan at the quarter's end stood at USD 2347/MT. Looking ahead, year-end sales offers may drive material destocking, and the Polycarbonate market is anticipated to remain stable, characterized by moderate supply and low demand.
MEA
The Polycarbonate market in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region witnessed a bearish trend during the fourth quarter of 2023. The market was marked by an abundant supply of the product, attributed to manufacturers and merchants stockpiling. This surplus, coupled with weak demand both domestically and internationally, contributed to a decline in prices. Anticipated cost pressures are on the horizon due to the tight supply of crude oil, impacting the price of the raw material Bisphenol A on a global scale. The industry's lack of proactive buying from downstream sectors indicates a more conservative and reserved approach, possibly influenced by prevailing market conditions or strategic considerations. Saudi Arabia, in particular, experienced a noteworthy 9% decrease in price compared to the previous quarter, maintaining a consistent percentage decline between the first and second halves of the quarter. The ample supply available to meet domestic requirements, coupled with lacklustre demand for the product, led to this declining trend in the price of Polycarbonate GP Grade FOB Jeddah. As of the latest update, the current quarter's price for the product in Saudi Arabia stands at USD 2076 per metric ton. These market dynamics reflect a complex interplay of supply and demand factors, cost pressures, and strategic decision-making, shaping the Polycarbonate landscape in the MEA region for the fourth quarter of 2023.
For the Quarter Ending September 2023
North America
The price of Polycarbonate in the US markets showed a marginal declining trend throughout the third quarter of 2023, primarily due to weak demand from downstream industries. Merchants experienced a declining trend in new orders, and despite tight credit conditions and high interest rates in the country, backlogs remained stable. The manufacturing sector operated at a stable pace, with an overall expansion in the production index. Inventory levels were maintained at satisfactory levels to meet existing demand, and there were minimal disruptions reported in the supply chain. The uncertain state of the construction industry had an impact on the Polycarbonate market in the US. The market had enough material to fulfill domestic requirements, leading to a lack of urgency in placing new orders. Additionally, the downstream automotive components manufacturing industry showed an average level of activity, contributing to the overall stable demand for the product. Despite an improvement in the downstream automotive industry in September 2023, the demand for Polycarbonate remained subdued due to its ample availability in the US domestic market.
Asia
The prices of Polycarbonate IM and GP grades displayed a mixed trend throughout the third quarter of 2023 in the Asian market. In China and Japan, demand for Polycarbonate was moderate, and the rising cost of the feedstock Bisphenol A had a significant impact on the production cost of Polycarbonate. Limited availability of resources in the market put minimal pressure on traders to ship their products, contributing to an upward price trend. Furthermore, the impending implementation of the PC anti-dumping ruling by the Ministry of Commerce during this period continued to boost market sentiment. Polycarbonate manufacturers reported consecutive increases in production during September, reaching the highest growth rate in two months. However, in the Indian domestic market, there was enough material to meet downstream requirements, which influenced product prices in a negative direction throughout the third quarter. Despite an uptick in construction and automotive industries, demand for Polycarbonate remained stable as merchants were working with existing stock levels, leading to a decline in fresh orders.
Europe
Throughout the third quarter of 2023, the price of Polycarbonate in the European market experienced a decline in the first two months but showed an increase at the end of the quarter. The construction sector continued to face challenges, influenced by factors such as rising interest rates and cautious consumer behavior. These factors contributed to a substantial decrease in new orders among Polycarbonate manufacturers in August. The German construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) remained below the threshold limit, indicating a prolonged recovery process for the construction sector. This decline in new orders exceeded the reduction in output. New export orders, especially those to other European countries, also experienced a notable decrease. By the end of the quarter, the price of Polycarbonate saw a slight increase due to limited availability in the market. Domestic merchants replenished their stocks in anticipation of future demand, leading to an improvement in purchasing enthusiasm. Suppliers in the German market responded by raising the cost of the product.
For the Quarter Ending June 2023
North America
The price of Polycarbonate remained a declining trend throughout the second quarter of 2023 owing to the weak performance from the downstream construction industry. Despite the increase in automotive sales in Q2, the demand for Polycarbonate remained weak due to the sufficient supply of the product to cater to the domestic requirements. Further, new vehicle sales in the United States for top global automakers rose in the second quarter on improving supply and strong demand, signaling that rising interest rates have not yet had a meaningful impact on purchases. New vehicle sales in the United States for top global automakers rose in the second quarter on improving supply and strong demand, signaling that rising interest rates have not yet had a meaningful impact on purchases. Supply chains in the construction industry were relieved of pressure as a result of lower demand for the product. Some firms also noted that sufficient stock level at clients had led to lower new orders. Overseas sales had dropped notably, and the domestic market remained deteriorating this period. The buyers were cautious and wait-and-see approach, engaging only a need-based purchases.
APAC
The price of Polycarbonate GP saw a declining trend in the Japanese market due to poor performances from the construction industry throughout the second quarter of 2023. The downstream market was weak and in decline on the demand side, and downstream procurement enthusiasm was not great, with most purchases being made on a need-only basis. These characteristics were pressured by cost and demand-side bearish reasons. Further, overseas inquiries about the product remained subdued due to gloomy global transactions. The manufacturing PMI of Japan fell again in June compared to the previous month, indicating the slump in construction activity and the demand for Polycarbonate GP remained declining in the domestic market. Merchants were wait-and-see approach in the market due to the sluggish global economy throughout the second quarter of 2023. Supply chains in the construction industry were relieved of pressure as a result of lower demand for building supplies and materials. Further new work orders received from the enterprises declined, and the merchants were working on the existing orders to satisfy consumer demand.
Europe
In the second quarter of 2023, the price of Polycarbonate witnessed a declining pattern due to the weak demand among enterprises in the German market. German exports are being negatively impacted by the weak global economy, moderate inflation rates are also having a negative impact on consumer spending and construction activity due to diminishing purchasing power and dramatically higher financing costs. Business conditions across Germany took a turn for the worse in June, with faster declines in both activity and new orders amid a backdrop of rising interest rates, customer uncertainty, and wider inflationary pressures, indicating the demand for PCs in the construction industry remained bearish in the German market. The manufacturing PMI fell throughout the quarter, indicating the deterioration in the largest economy in the Eurozone area. Moreover, the reasons for the decline in new home construction include a recent surge in interest rates, rising construction costs, and uncertainty among builders and buyers. Market participants say pessimism about the construction industry for the next 12 months in the Eurozone which indicates that further decline in the PC market.
Middle East
Throughout the second quarter of 2023, the price of Polycarbonate witnessed a declining pattern due to the weak cost pressure from raw material Bisphenol A in the Saudi market. Saudi Arabia was importing Bisphenol A from overseas markets such as the Netherlands and Korea at low prices, supporting the domestic market. The Saudi market had an abundant supply of raw materials, thus relieved the production cost of the Polycarbonate in the country. Further, Saudi enterprises received fewer orders from overseas markets due to the uncertain global economy throughout the second quarter of 2023. The supply chain in the region operated at a moderate pace and was sufficient stock available to meet consumer demand. However, the demand for Polycarbonate in Saudi Arabia remained weak due to sluggish inquiries from the construction and automotive industries in the domestic market. There was significant wait-and-see sentiment in the domestic market. Meanwhile, demand from downstream industries witnessed stagnancy with limited new orders in the second quarter, and the procurements have been needed basis.
For the Quarter Ending March 2023
North America
During the first Quarter of 2023, the cost of Polycarbonate was observed to be stable, with slight fluctuations in the USA market. The weak-cost pressure from the raw material Bisphenol A and limited consumption of Polycarbonate in the USA market further declined the cost of the product. In January, the Polycarbonate price fell sharply and continued to stable trend due to the high-interest rates impacting the construction industry firms in the USA market. Further, the new orders from the end-use industries declined for the fourth successive month in January, and it continued throughout the Quarter. The cost of the Polycarbonate hovered around USD 3660/MT on a DDP US Gulf during the end of the Quarter.
APAC
The price of Polycarbonate witnessed a mixed trend in Asia-Pacific throughout the first Quarter of 2023. In January, the consumption of Polycarbonate from the downstream industries was reduced, and the product got stocked up in the Japanese market. After a declining trend, the price got higher and received more orders from domestic and overseas markets, and the merchants restocked the material. In the last month of the Quarter, the demand for the product declined due to the fewer new orders from the overseas market. On the other hand, the Chinese market followed the same price pattern throughout the Quarter because China was importing from the Northeast Asian nations for their market. The cost of Polycarbonate settled at USD 2551/MT on a FOB Tokyo during the last month of the first Quarter.
Europe
Prices for Polycarbonate decreased in the first Quarter of 2023 as a result of the weak demand from the European region's downstream construction and automotive sectors. The price of the product dropped, and fewer new orders from both the domestic and overseas markets were received. A wider look at the German automotive sector reveals that production levels are continuing to improve, albeit slowly. Existing orders were still being fulfilled by manufacturers, but waning demand from potential customers. In January, Trinseo announced to shut off of the Polycarbonate production line in Stade, Germany, to lower the cost of Polycarbonate and reduce the exposure to the cyclical merchant Polycarbonate market in the German region. In addition, high-interest rates often drop the demand, which might be negative for the global construction and automotive industry.
For the Quarter Ending December 2022
North America
The price of Polycarbonate witnessed a downward trend throughout Q4 of 2022 due to weak cost pressure from Bisphenol A in the US market. Due to inflation and high-interest rates in the USA, the demand from the automotive industry was low and reduced orders from the end-use sectors in the market. There were no major port congestions in the US. In December, holiday approach buyers purchased the materials on a need basis. On a DDP US Gulf in December 2022, the price of Polycarbonate was approximately USD 3808 per MT.
APAC
Due to weak demand from downstream industries, the price of Polycarbonate decreased throughout the fourth Quarter of 2022. The weak cost pressure from feedstock Bisphenol A supported the downstream derivative industries, including the Polycarbonate market. Due to the zero COVID restriction implemented during the fourth quarter, China's downstream industries experienced weak demand. During this timeframe, buyers reduced their orders, resulting in a stockpile of materials in the market. At the same time, the price of Polycarbonate decreased in the Japanese market as a result of fewer inquiries from overseas markets due to high inflation. In December 2022, the price of Polycarbonate reached USD 2718 per MT FOB Tokyo.
Europe
During the Q4 of 2022, the cost of Polycarbonate observed a downward trajectory throughout the quarter. The ample availability of natural gas and mild weather in European nations contributed to the ease in gas prices. This decrease in natural gas prices supported the cost of domestic production of the product. The demand for automotive and construction was relatively low in the region. A well-known company, Trinseo, announced the Polycarbonate plant permanent shutdown in Stade, Germany, under the influence of prolonged market disturbances and low demand. On an FD Hamburg in December 2022, the price of Polycarbonate was approximately USD 4430 per MT.
For the Quarter Ending September 2022
North America
During the third quarter of 2022, the price of Polycarbonate soared in the North American region. The high-cost pressure from the feedstock Bisphenol A led to the downstream derivative industries. In the USA, the domestic market of Polycarbonate demand appears to struggle, and prices were under more pressure to soaring interest rates and surging costs of downstream automotive parts. Domestic factories have increased slightly to stimulate the market, and carriers have followed the upward trend with acceptable terminal acceptance. Downstream epoxy factories and intermediate traders have increased their participation.
APAC
The market sentiments for Polycarbonate observed declined trend in the Asian region throughout the third quarter of 2022. The costs from exporting countries like Thailand and South Korea decreased with a fall in consumption from the downstream sector. The freight charges in the Asian region were falling with global disputes. On the supply side, abundant goods are on-site, high inventory, weak demand, and buyers' heavy wait-and-see attitude in the market. India is expected to price gain in the Polycarbonate market due to the festive season in quarter four.
Europe
The price of Polycarbonate witnessed an upward trajectory throughout the third quarter of 2022 due to a surge in natural gas and raw materials prices in the region. The operating cost was high. Since the escalation between Russia and Ukraine, European countries have faced significant headwinds due to a shortage of natural gas and high prices for the available material. In the region, the operational cost of producing Polycarbonate was skyrocketing. Several German ports were congested in September, the supply chain disrupted the country, and the product's inventory level was low in the market. The moderate demand from downstream industries like automotive and, electrical & electronics has pushed the price in the northern direction.
For the Quarter Ending June 2022
North America
The North American market saw a surge in the prices of Polycarbonate during the second quarter of 2022, with prices observed to be hovering around USD 4100/ton Polycarbonate GP Grade DDP US Gulf with a quarterly escalation of 1.1% as per recorded by Chem Analyst pricing team data. Surging demand from downstream automotive and medical devices market pulled the prices of Polycarbonate in an upward direction. Varying costs of upstream feedstock Bisphenol A and Phosgene due to fluctuating petrochemicals market in response to the war between Russia and Ukraine supported the market. Rising product imports from the importing American and Asian countries due to development in the automotive enterprises was one of the major causes for the trend to increase.
Asia
Polycarbonate prices declined in the Asian market, with prices ranging at USD 3225/ton Polycarbonate GP Grade CFR, Shanghai in China, and a quarterly declination of 3.6% as recorded by Chem Analyst pricing team data. The downstream Epoxy resin and other markets fell broadly. Although the holders made profits-cutting, the actual orders were still limited, and the pessimism in the market increased. The weakening of the upstream feedstock Bisphenol A market has reduced the support for the Polycarbonate cost side. The buying situation from the downstream demand was not good, and the operating rate for terminal enterprises was limited due to various factors.
Europe
The prices of Polycarbonate surged in the European market during the second quarter of 2022, with costs ranging at USD 4318/ton Polycarbonate GP FD Hamburg and a quarterly escalation of 5.5% as per recorded by Chem Analyst pricing team data. Surging exports to the few importing European countries due to increased demand from the downstream automotive sector supported the market upward. The shipments were down, and there were shipping delays due to logistical constraints, leading to a product shortage in the market. This was one of the major causes of prices rise during the quarter.
For the Quarter Ending March 2022
North America
Prices of Polycarbonate rose in the North American region throughout the first quarter. Feedstock BPA prices fluctuated continuously in the USA due to volatile demand from the manufacturing sector as other alternatives like BPS and BPF were used in industries to manufacture Polycarbonate. The demand for Polycarbonate remained stable to firm from the downstream food packaging industry, due to which prices increased in the US market. The values got settled at USD 3936/ tonne by the end of Q1, with a decrement of 1% from the last quarter of 2021 in the US market.
Asia Pacific
In China, prices of Polycarbonate fluctuated in a stable to firm range during Q1 of 2022. Polycarbonate values settled at USD 3605 /tonne on CFR basis by the end of Q1 in the Chinese market. Prices rose due to strong cost pressure and favourable demand from downstream industries. Increased crude oil values in March impacted feed BPA prices from exporting countries like South Korea towards the end of the quarter in the Chinese market. However, in the Indian Market, the accessed prices of Polycarbonate on CFR basis were USD 2085.06 per tonne by the end of Q1. Prices declined in India during January and February whereas in March 2022, upstream Naphtha prices increased due to the war in the East European region, which impacted the production cost of Polycarbonate.
Europe
Prices of Polycarbonate in the European region witnessed a shift, especially in March 2022. Polycarbonate values decreased in January and February due to sluggish demand from the downstream automotive industry but rose eventually by the end of the quarter. The inflationary pressure from high feedstock values and increased natural gas and crude prices amidst the conflict in the East European region in March impacted the values of Polycarbonate in Europe. The accessed prices of Polycarbonate were USD 4310/ tonne by the end of Q1 2022.
For the Quarter Ending December 2021
North America
Weak demand outlook throughout the quarter meant a bearish sentiment in Polycarbonate market. Consumption remained sluggish in the wake of holiday season and underwhelming performance of the automotive sector. During the previous quarters, production shortage of Polycarbonate led to strong prices despite a weakened trend of consumption from automotive sector. However, in Q4 sluggish consumption from automotive industry appeared more glaring a timely downturn in prices of Polycarbonate. Prices were last assessed at USD 3850 per MT on DDP basis after conclusion of December 2021.
APAC
In India, Polycarbonate market outlook remains weak in last few weeks of the quarter stemming from dull domestic demand and rising freight charges. Domestic consumption continues to be muted keeping downward pressure on the available imported material. Although, Polycarbonate market started the quarter with a bullish sentiment where CFR prices increased to INR 169580 per MT however, they declined in the H2 of the quarter to INR 167910 per MT. Polycarbonate market in China also maintain stability and weak pricing sentiment throughout the quarter owing to stagnancy in demand and no production or supply chain hiccups. Ex-Shanghai price declined from October to December and last assessed at USD 3485 per MT during the last week of the quarter.
Europe
Skyrocketing natural gas prices along with strong Bisphenol-A (BPA) pricing kept an upward pressure on the overall cost of production of Polycarbonate. Consequently, manufacturers were forced to increase the prices of Polycarbonate throughout the quarter in order to keep their margins. Demand has been stable from the automotive sector despite a comparatively dull year due to global semi-conductor shortage Covestro and other key producers remarked that strong energy cost and rising logistics costs have further pressured overall prices amid healthy demand. Prices were last assessed at USD 4570 per MT in December 2021 on DDP basis.
For the Quarter Ending September 2021
North America
In Q3 2021, an exponential rise in the prices of Polycarbonate was witnessed in the North American region. The Polycarbonate market encountered tight supplies and firm demand from the downstream automotive sector throughout the quarter. Moreover, spike in the prices of upstream Bisphenol A (BPA) also sent ripples to the prices of Polycarbonate in the region. In late August, due to severe climate calamity in USA, several manufacturers were compelled to shut their production plants for nearly 2 weeks that also impacts the production rates and supply chains and consequently fumed the prices of Polycarbonate in the North American region. Hence, a continuous hike was observed in the values of Polycarbonate in this time frame.
Asia Pacific
In Asia, Polycarbonate market witnessed an upward trend backed by the strong demand from the downstream sectors during Q3 2021. As it is used in the production of testing kits, face shields, ventilators, and other medical devices, its demand remained uplifted in this time frame. In India, Polycarbonate is largely imported, therefore a constant surge in its prices was observed in the regional market backed by the soaring freight charges across the several interoceanic trade routes as well as delayed imports due to congestion on several ports. CFR-JNPT (GP Powder) prices in September were assessed at USD 2079.83 per MT with a hike of USD 266.14/MT. Amid the expectations of a further jump in demand due to the upcoming festive season, downstream buyers turned cautious over their inventory levels in India.
Europe
In Q3 2021, the Polycarbonate market remained gloomy despite the firm demand from the domestic as well as overseas market. Regional manufacturers of Polycarbonate were compelled to curtail their production capacities due to the energy crisis in this time frame although they experienced ample enquiries from the overseas market. Besides, constraint supplies of upstream Bisphenol A also sent ripples to the prices of Polycarbonate in the region. In addition, soaring freight costs and limited availability of shipping containers also contributed to the hike in prices of the Polycarbonate during this quarter. DDP Hamburg offers for General Purpose PC rose from USD 4350/MT to USD 4450/ from July to September.
For the Quarter Ending June 2021
North America
Polycarbonate (PC) prices climbed across the North American region during this quarter, backed by sturdy demand from the downstream manufacturers and tight supply activities. The demand for Polycarbonate from COVID related equipment like face shield, testing kits, ventilators and other medical equipment etc. remained firm. Feedstock Bisphenol A (BPA) kept on rising in the meantime due to sturdy demand and tight supply activities across the region. In addition, prolonged plant shutdowns since February, exacerbated the overall tightness in supply activities for PC and feedstock BPA in the USA. Consistent surge in prices of PC was observed in USA, which settled at USD 4085/MT (extrusion moulding) and USD 4375/MT (injection moulding) during last week of June in USA.
Asia
Polycarbonate demand dynamics varied in the Asian market country over country. China witnessed firm demand from downstream end users due to strong economic recovery from the pandemic. On the other hand, in India, price of PC in India kept slipping throughout the quarter due to dented demand under second wave of pandemic in the country. Feedstock BPA was increasing till May and then eventually fell in June due to muted demand for Polycarbonate. The price of Polycarbonate was assessed at USD 2049.2/MT and USD 3995/MT for injection moulding grade in India and China towards the end of Q2.
Europe
The European market had firm demand for Polycarbonate during Q2 amid critical shortage of feedstock chemicals, which supported the overall price of PC and other polymers. Dented supply of upstream chemicals led to an overall hike in supply chain of PC across the region which compelled manufacturers to raise their product prices to sustain their margins. Manufacturers like Covestro announced price hike of around USD 588/MT in its PC product, effective from May 2021. While, previously, Trinseo also announced price hike of around USD 470/MT on its PC resins in Europe due to similar reasons.
For the Quarter Ending March 2021
North America
Freezing cold temperature across the US Gulf Coast disrupted the total polymers and petrochemicals output of North American region in the quarter ending March. Most of the production activities remained curtailed due to unfavourable plant operating conditions, thus the supply of Polycarbonate compounds remained in narrow range throughout the quarter. The prices of Polycarbonate witnessed month on month increment, in January prices rose by +USD 219.4 per MT followed by gradual increments in the next month. During March, prices finally settled down at USD 3910 per MT after rising 20.67% since January. As the production activity across the region is resuming effectively, Polycarbonate prices are anticipated to calm down in upcoming quarter.
Asia
The Asian market experienced shortage of feedstock chemicals during Q1 2021 amid moderate to high demand from downstream end users. Feedstock Bisphenol A supply remained critically short, while the demand from other sectors like Epoxy resin market remained high. Hence the prices of feedstock chemicals skyrocketed during this time frame across Asia. In addition, prices of other upstream chemicals like Benzene and Propylene experienced double-digit rise, which levied a direct impact on the prices of Polycarbonate. Meanwhile, the FOB prices in China, during March settled at USD 3050 per MT after rising 127.6% since January 2021.
Europe
The European market observed similar trends in line with other regions, with shortage of feedstock chemicals, amid high demand from end users. The demand from downstream end users were observed stable to firm, however the supply remained critical due to lower imports from USA as the production activities were halted due to the freezing winter storm. In addition, imports from Asia also remained expensive due to higher freight cost and shortage of shipping containers.
For the Quarter Ending September 2020
North America
Sustained demand for electronics and engineering plastics triggered a sharp rise in the American PC demand which started facing supply side issues towards the end of Q3. In September, a major PC producer, Covestro declared force majeure at its 260 KTPA plant located Texas. The situation was exacerbated after Hurricane Laura led to further disruptions in the functioning of production lines. Regional traders found the quarter quite responsive in terms of demand while the US economy was still struggling to bounce back as a large population stayed-at-home, keeping most businesses affected. Commenting upon the pricing delta, margins remained intact with the fall in automotive offtakes largely offset by the buoyant medical plastics demand.
Asia
During the third quarter, the Polycarbonate market received firm support from all major industries except automobile and transportation which remained shrouded with uncertainty amid looming demand recovery due to the pandemic. Polycarbonate exports to Asia were heard registering volume growth, driven by surging demand for resins used in protective gears post reopening of several manufacturing sectors. As effects of COVID-19 eased, suppliers noticed a sharp uptick in the material sourcing compared to previous quarter. However, supply was largely disrupted due to maintenance turnarounds, creating potential tightness for the demanded grades, such as extrusion and optical. The Chinese PC reported healthy gains with automotive sector gradually picking up post a double-digit fall in Q2. High feedstock prices further led to unhealthy spreads between BPA and PC for producers. Tracing the inclining trend, the general-purpose PC resin prices matched USD 1900 per MT levels across the Indian markets during Q3.
Europe
Picking itself up from economic disruptions caused by the COVID-led slowdown, the PC demand in Europe grew higher in the third quarter, driven by improved fundamentals in the construction and medical plastics sector. Russia's overall consumption of PC granules (excluding import-export data from Belarus) rose in January-October 2020 by 21% year on year. Additionally, some players reported that export opportunities in Asia were competitively attractive for European producers while several consuming industries turned back to operations with the exception of automotive sector, which remained pressured under the global slowdown. The quarter ended with news of SABIC and electric utility company Iberdrola entering into a deal to set up the world’s first large scale Polycarbonate facility in Spain, which would run entirely (100 percent) on renewable energy.
