In July 2024, Taurine prices in the U.S. market surged notably, reversing the downward trend seen in the previous month. This uptick was fuelled by rising demand from end-use industries, higher freight costs, and a constricted supply chain. Consequently, market players increased their pricing to mitigate potential financial losses.

One factor contributing to this trend is the rise in raw material costs, specifically Ethylene oxide. In July 2024, Ethylene oxide prices surged unexpectedly in the Chinese market. While demand from downstream industries remained stable domestically, most transactions were conducted on a need-only basis. Additionally, the availability of Ethylene oxide was constrained by low domestic operating rates, which drove prices higher and, in turn, contributed to the increase in Taurine prices.

Recent data shows that China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 49.4 in July, down 0.1 points from the previous month, indicating a continued contraction in manufacturing activities. This decrease reflects a slowdown in production, leading to a diminished supply of Taurine. Additionally, China is grappling with severe climate change effects, including more frequent heatwaves and erratic heavy rains. These extreme weather conditions are disrupting manufacturing processes and supply chains, exacerbating production difficulties and transportation delays, which have contributed to the increase in Taurine prices.

Since China is a major producer and exporter of Taurine, the U.S. market has followed a similar trajectory.

Furthermore, blank sailings, necessitated by the rerouting of ships around the Cape of Good Hope (COGH) due to port congestion in Asia and North America, have disrupted the supply chain. Adverse weather conditions around the COGH have compounded these disruptions, causing further delays and capacity issues. Additionally, several shipping carriers have implemented substantial Peak Season Surcharges for July, increasing the cost of shipping Taurine.

Given the U.S.'s significant dependence on Asian imports for Taurine, these higher shipping costs are expected to be passed on to consumers. Although easing restrictions on the Panama Canal may offer long-term relief, it is unlikely to immediately counteract the current cost increases.

On the economic front, the U.S. has shown signs of recovery with strong consumer spending boosting momentum after a slow start to 2024. Recent data suggests a decrease in high inflation, which might allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. This potential rate reduction could stimulate consumer demand and, in turn, push Taurine prices even higher.

According to ChemAnalyst, Taurine prices are projected to continue rising due to sustained strong demand from end-user sectors. Additionally, the early start of the transpacific peak season, driven by concerns about a potential strike by East Coast and Gulf port workers in October, could heighten competition for shipping capacity and increase transportation costs, further pushing up Taurine prices.