The Arginine prices showed an upward trend in the first half of September, driven by limited supply and steady demand from the end-user industries. Imports from major exporting nations, such as China, also slowed down, decreasing supply and increasing Arginine prices. Arginine, an amino acid, is widely used in various industries, including the food and pharmaceutical sectors. Recently, the demand from these key markets has been on the rise, thus contributing to the increase in Arginine prices.

China is a major trading partner of Germany. The economic performance of China remained subdued in August. The Chinese manufacturing sector contracted for the fifth month in a row. This resulted in a decrease in production activity and a lack of inventory at the factories and traders. The majority of firms also stopped producing and accepting foreign orders due to the VIV Nanjing exhibition in China, which left the market with a shortage of supplies. As the demand for small varieties of amino acids was high in both the domestic and international markets, market traders raised Arginine prices even further, affecting the Arginine market in Germany as well.

The German economy is facing tremendous hurdles as it grapples with ongoing difficulties. The country is undergoing an energy crisis due to the Ukraine war and a lack of alternative energy sources, which negatively hurts business activity in the economy. The combined effects of these issues are further hindering Germany's growth potential. The German inflation rate was +6.1% in August compared to 6.2% in July. Food and energy prices have risen faster than overall inflation, keeping inflation high. Energy product prices increased 8.3% year on year, following a 5.7% increase in July 2023. Businesses' expenses and shipping costs increased because of the consistently high inflation, contributing to higher Arginine prices in Germany. Aside from that, unfavorable weather occurrences such as heavy rain and storms hampered suppliers' ability to deliver goods on schedule in Germany, disrupting the supply chain and driving up Arginine prices.

The ChemAnalyst research predicts that Arginine prices will steadily rise over the next months due to increased end-user industrial demand and limited market availability. Apart from that, the European Central Bank increased interest rates for the tenth consecutive meeting in September to combat persistent inflation, but it also sent a signal that it was likely finished tightening monetary policy. This might assist in boosting overall market demand and maintain higher Arginine prices. Additionally, increased trading activity is predicted, which might support the preservation of favorable market dynamics.